Anthropogenic Global Warming Going Up In Smoke
As a break from health care and to encourage you, here’s more news on the AGW fraud expose.
The fun really is beginning. After years and years of hype and scare, some things are becoming unraveled with the hacking of the University of East Anglia Climate Research Unit. Click on the East Anglia link if you missed the beginning of “Climategate.” That thread at Watts Up With That? has over 1300 comments on it right now.
Yesterday on Watts Up With That?:
WUWT’s post on the CRU data hack was the number one post on WordPress today, beating out CNN, People magazine, and other well known media outlet posts.
I became a weather junkie a while back, discovering Watts Up With That? several years when Anthony Watts was written up in an online article that outlined his surface stations project. The physics and math can easily go beyond my expertise, but I check in from time to time to see the latest news. I have been impressed with Watts determination to fairly report the science no matter what the data may say. His colleague Stephen McIntyre of Climate Audit, is famous as a co-author of a paper challenging the hockey stick-shaped graph of changes in the Northern Hemisphere temperatures since the year 1000. The Wikipedia article at the hockey link has a picture of the graph.
The political significance of the scientific controversy over the graph centers on its use as part of the evidence for anthropogenic global warming. The MBH98 reconstruction was prominently featured in the 2001 United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Third Assessment Report (TAR) and as a result has been widely published in the media.
The controversy of the moment from the hacked information is about Mike’s Nature Trick, mentioned in one of the hacked emails. It is all about manipulating the data to get the hockey stick graph.
So far one of the most circulated e-mails from the CRU hack is the following from Phil Jones to the original hockey stick authors – Michael Mann, Raymond Bradley, and Malcolm Hughes….
I’ve just completed Mike’s Nature trick of adding in the real temps to each series for the last 20 years (ie from 1981 onwards) amd from 1961 for Keith’s to hide the decline.
The e-mail is about WMO statement on the status of the global climate in 1999 -report, or more specifically, about its cover image.
…grafting the thermometer onto a reconstruction is not actually the original “Mike’s Nature trick”! Mann did not fully graft the thermometer on a reconstruction, but he stopped the smoothed series in their end years. The trick is more sophisticated, and was uncovered by UC over here. (Note: Try not to click this link now, CA is overloaded. Can’t even get to it myself to mirror it. -A)
When smoothing these time series, the Team had a problem: actual reconstructions “diverge” from the instrumental series in the last part of 20th century. For instance, in the original hockey stick (ending 1980) the last 30-40 years of data points slightly downwards. In order to smooth those time series one needs to “pad” the series beyond the end time, and no matter what method one uses, this leads to a smoothed graph pointing downwards in the end whereas the smoothed instrumental series is pointing upwards — a divergence. So Mann’s solution was to use the instrumental record for padding, which changes the smoothed series to point upwards as clearly seen in UC’s figure (violet original, green without “Mike’s Nature trick”).
If you go over to WUWT? and look at the graphs, you can see the padded data of the violet line going up, while the green line is going down. Interesting, huh, to say the least!!!
What has been the reaction so far to this email and the other emails and information that is now online?
From the New York Times: Hacked E-Mails Fuel Climate Change Skeptics
Some skeptics asserted Friday that the correspondence revealed an effort to withhold scientific information. “This is not a smoking gun, this is a mushroom cloud,” said Patrick J. Michaels, a climatologist who has long faulted evidence pointing to human-driven warming and is criticized in the documents….
“This shows these are people willing to bend rules and go after other people’s reputations in very serious ways,” he said.
From Andrew Bolt (via Michelle Malkin):
So the 1079 emails and 72 documents seem indeed evidence of a scandal involving most of the most prominent scientists pushing the man-made warming theory – a scandal that is one of the greatest in modern science. I’ve been adding some of the most astonishing in updates below – emails suggesting conspiracy, collusion in exaggerating warming data, possibly illegal destruction of embarrassing information, organised resistance to disclosure, manipulation of data, private admissions of flaws in their public claims and much more. If it is as it now seems, never again will “peer review” be used to shout down sceptics.
This is clearly not the work of some hacker, but of an insider who’s now blown the whistle.
More to come, I’m sure.
UPDATE: Bruce had a link in the Open Thread to an American Thinker column on this scandal,
The Evidence of Climate Fraud:
Criminal? Oh yes, indeed. As this mock-science serves as justification for trillions of dollars in imposed and proposed new taxes, liens, fees, and rate hikes — not to mention the absurd wealth-redistribution premise of international climate debt “reparations” — such manipulation of evidence should be treated as exactly what it is: larceny on the grandest scale in history.
__________
H/T: Watts Up With That?, The Telegraph, Climate Audit, Wikipedia, The New York Times, The Australian Herald Sun, Michelle Malkin, Bruce, American Thinker.
[1]
Woodward & Bernstein…call your office!
Except 99% of potential “Woodwards and Bernsteins” could not care any less about FACTS when it comes to this. Anthropogenic Global Warming is a RELIGION to them…the ONLY religion!
I’ve mentioned it before, but a friend of mine at work is one of the smartest people I know on science subjects…EXCEPT on this! When I confronted him about 6 months ago with the FACT that the average GLOBAL temperature had been dropping since 1998 his response was:
“That’s caused by Global Warming”
I am NOT making that up! I tried to give him some wiggle room and re-explained that the statistics showed that the GLOBAL temperature was falling…not just a case of it being hotter one place and colder in another. How, I asked again, could GLOBAL temperate DROPPING be evidence of GLOBAL temperature RISING???
He got flustered, muttered on for a few moments and stomped away. I had offended his GOD! We’re still friends…but have not talked about this since.
[2]
Logic seems to have been gone up in smoke as well!
[3]
I posted this link on the previous thread…but it brings up some of the more interesting ,and fathomable for the lay person, details and possible repurcussions including criminal proceedings. It is a great read.
The Evidence of Climate Fraud
[4]
off!
[5]
Your “Climate Audit” link needs updating..
[6]
Bruce, I just put that link into an update in the post.
Thanks!
[7]
Ok, KH, I’ll check it.
[8]
Heh, JR. send your friend a link to that article.
Like INC I have been gathering data on this from the outset. Just the notion that CO2 has anything to do with climate is absurd on its face.
I sent my 5 remaining liberal friends a link to the article in my comment above…of course I said I didn’t think any of them were amongst those that still believed in GW. While I was at it I asked why the Healthcare Bill being voted on tonight was being represented as costing 850 billion over 10 years when the actual cost when fully implemented would be 2.5 trillion.
I wonder how many liberal friends I will have left by this time next year?
[9]
I had some problems with the Climate Audit link because it’s .org and so I put in the URL.
I’ll have to ask JM what’s going on.
[10]
I had offended his GOD!
global warming is indeed a religion. Even after this news, people are still attempting to defend it beyond all common sense. In Sept I took my son to the National History Museum for a field trip and we went to the IMAX theatre to see “under the sea”. They explained that as the polar ice caps have melted over the last 400 years, that the sea levels have risen and the coral reefs rose with the sea level building living mountains almost a mile high. (from memory, don’t quote me here). But because of global warming, the reefs are dying.
And I’m thinking, does anyone in this audience realize that they just disproved global warming on common sense alone? If the ice has been melting for 400 years, then global warming isn’t man made. and if the sea has been rising then the reef seems to be attempting to rise toward the sun and warmer waters.
[11]
No it works (there server is overloaded and slow), it just looked like a fat finger issue..ie it was adding BGJ’s url in front of it, so I just manually removed it but most wouldn’t know to do that.
Ie it was pointing at http://bejohngalt……./…/…/www.climateaudit.org/
I think you were just simply missing the http:// in the href anchor is all
http://www.climateaudit.org/
[12]
There are a number of people (e.g. Al Gore) and corporations (e.g. General Electric) that are poised to make a fortune off global warming.
[13]
Thanks again, KH. It should be fixed now.
[14]
No problem, thx, didn’t want anyone missing out on all the fun!
[15]
O/T, but it is now being reported that all of these morons have decided to vote for cloture:
Blanche Lincoln of Arkansas, Ben Nelson of Nebraska, Mary Landrieu of Louisiana!
All three issued the obligatory: “But I’m concerned with blah blah blah”
I cannot believe the CONSERVATIVE majorities in those three States will return those three morons to the Senate!
Apparently Lieberman, who VOWED to filibuster the Motion to Proceed if the Bill contained the “Public Option” (which it DOES) is now going to vote for cloture as well.
2010. folks…2010. It is our LAST chance to slow down, let alone de-rail, the headlong rush to total government control!
[16]
Yes, never has a scam been so richly deserving of being exposed.
These guys ran the gamut of scandal. It’s too bad Michael Crichton isn’t alive to see this.
[17]
guns…
halfway down the page…
or here or here….
[18]
Dude, that’s awesome!
[19]
And so is this….
[20]
0-133mph in 4 seconds, 455 feet straight up and look at the view when you flip over and start falling….
I gotta ride that
Look at this, even scarier….
[21]
How it was done
[22]
holy crap, is that really real?
[23]
That second vid makes me a little jumpy… yikes. Don’t slip, dude…
[24]
Damn. I thought they tested that a dozen times with a dummy of a certain weight, and then a guy of same mass was crazy enough to try it.
[25]
It’s too bad Michael Crichton isn’t alive to see this INC
Yes, God Bless him!
He clearly tried to warn against the fraudulent nature of peer reviewed studies. The only valid studies are blind or, preferrably, double blind. You dont see many of either on the left.
This expose of course should bring in to question all of the enviro fascist fraud going on the the US. And in particular in California where junk science has created rules and regulations that have helped in ruining this state.
[26]
From Sarah to Blanche:
Not sure I can convince Sen. Lincoln to vote no – but will do everything in my pwr to convince my friends in Arkansas to vote against her.
Take that, commie!
[27]
One thing you have to admire about the Dems is their discipline. Lincoln is up for reelection next year, but it appears she is still willing to fall on her sword to go along. Compare that with the likes of Lugar and Bennett, who use their swords to stab conservatives in the back.
[28]
I expect Sarah will be making new friends in Arkansas during the elections next year.
[29]
Yes, but the people back home voted for these idiots. They’ve no one but themselves to blame.
[30]
Look at MFG’s comment earlier, that McCain won LA by a huge margin yet half those voters voted for Mary Moonbat.
So whose fault is it when they get dropped into government insurance?
Theirs.
I had buddies who are Rs and voted for Bill Nelson D-FL. You could not reason with them at all.
[31]
Most of these moonbats who voted dem will receive subsidized premium credits anyway, so they could care less.
[32]
Get new buddies
[33]
This is just a stepping stone to single payer.
The intent is to collapse the system and it will indeed collapse.
Find a medical group that will take cash, and pay them directly, and tell your boss to cancel your insurance.
But first, we have to kick these people out in 2010. Kick them out.
[34]
The people are ultimately to blame, no question, you get the government you deserve
[35]
Get new buddies
They are gunnies and survivors. Not one damn bit of sense about politics. For all their smarts about setting traps in the woods and sneaking around, they walk right into political traps without batting an eye.
[36]
Find a medical group that will take cash, and pay them directly, and tell your boss to cancel your insurance. RWY
Somewhere in the fine print, this too will ultimately be prohibited. Socialists can’t allow any spark of the free market to remain.
[37]
RWY’s buddies
[38]
True, and people will just ignore it.
The law will charge a tax for bosses who don’t offer insurance. So, companies will reduce jobs to the number of allowed employees that slip under the threshold, and then contract with the rest….
So, the Feds will have to tax people directly to pay for this, and in fact I believe the law as written already does this. Plus, the tax starts right away, while the program does not start until 2013.
So people are going to lose their jobs and see their incomes reduced in substantial, impossible to ignore numbers, and we will see what effect that has on elections.
States are going to see tax revenue bottom out, and just might give the feds the middle finger to survive.
We will see.
But the people voted for this, I have not ONE OUNCE of sympathy for them.
[39]
lol. A few of them are quite wealthy and own businesses. And some of them even hire illegals too, and boy did we have a knockdown drag out 15 rounder about THAT.
[40]
I’m not as popular in that circle as I was a few years ago, but they do admit I have been proven right about Bush, and the R party, and the Dems.
They are complacent, and arrogant. Nothing I said could sway them, they denied clear and plainly obvious facts.
Now they are listening a little more closely.
[41]
Their children and grandchildren will pay for their myopia.
[42]
They are complacent, and arrogant. Nothing I said could sway them, they denied clear and plainly obvious facts. RWY
They are enablers, find new friends.
[43]
When I first started cursing Bush back in 2002, you should have heard them attacking me.
I got cussed something fierce.
[44]
I got cussed something fierce. RWY
Sticks and stones will break your bones,but a kick in the balls will smart some.
[45]
Their children and grandchildren will pay for their myopia.
They are starting to get that, now. The dumbasses. How can you be so well off and successful, and a complete shlub on what is happening around you.
Bah.
I work with new guys now, so we don’t hang much anymore. Talk on the phone a few times a year, and they say “You were right.”
[46]
And don’t ever think cap and trade is dead, because the fraud is now out in the open either.
The failure of single payer health care is out in the open, and the people oppose it by large margins, but they are doing it anyway.
They will do cap and trade, and amnesty, in the teeth of 65%-70% opposition, or in the case of amnesty, even 75%.
They are not listening.
[47]
btw I actually think you are correct about cap&tax and the rest… they’re all-in now, might as well go for it.
[48]
I still remain unconvinced that huge swathes of the Democratic Party will put political shotguns into their mouths and pull the triggers…
[49]
Voting to proceed placates the loonies
[50]
You guys are basically arguing that politics have ceased to exist in this country and that when one party gets control of Congress they can do anything they want to without any checks
This is an error
Watch and see
[51]
Unfortunately MFG, those checks will come later, AFTER this abortion is already on the books.
If they were listening, it would never have gone this far.
[52]
I’m watching the horror show.
[53]
I will take the MFG ploy and say that crap&charade will not pass.
[54]
I’m watching the horror show. nocturnal raptor
Masochist.
[55]
I will say this though
I am astounded that this has gotten this far; it has proceeded way past the point of where any sane politician would have abandoned it
I am convinced that the leadership of the Communist Party: Pelosi, Reid and Obama are extremely seriously mentally ill and will stop at nothing to turn the country into Venezuela
We shall see about their orcs though…
[56]
Masochist – In some ways indeed, what to be able to describe to my kids some day in detail what took down the USA v2.0 (post civilwar-I) .
[57]
“it has proceeded way past the point of where any sane politician would have abandoned it”
—
So why stop now?
Only thing comparable was CIR v1.0 which died a death in conference as I recall.
[58]
You guys are basically arguing that politics have ceased to exist in this country and that when one party gets control of Congress they can do anything they want to without any checks
Well, there are checks, but the left never pays attention to them, and if need be, they destroy them.
Why don’t you see the Dems are in the process of destroying the checks? What will it take to make you see they intend to destroy them?
All bets are off at that point.
Anything is possible, from a correcting election, and happiness ever after, all the way to collapse, dictatorship, and revolution.
[59]
Only thing comparable was CIR v1.0 which died a death in conference as I recall.KH
It was defeated on a floor vote in the senate
[60]
MFG, the Dems do not intend to let the people stop them. They will pass all this, and more, then rely on fraud/ACORN/amnesty to keep them in power.
[61]
Constitution,? we don’t need no steeenking constitution.
[62]
CIR 2.0 being the 2006 version which passed the R senate and was ignored by the house.
CIR 3.0 being the 2007 one that died in the senate?
[63]
Well then that was cir2.0 sorry… whatever the version that died in conference which ever it was.
[64]
MFG, the Dems do not intend to let the people stop them. They will pass all this, and more, then rely on fraud/ACORN/amnesty to keep them in power.
RWY
A banana republik in the making.
[65]
well, they are not going to get away with it, without resistance…
[66]
Harry Nancy and Obama – The Three Amigos
[67]
I’m off to go read, picked up Flynn’s latest along with a couple copies of Rouge today, I’m thinking Vince first save Sarah for tomorrow afternoon.
[68]
And wait until amnesty comes up, and half the R caucus votes in favor.
They have stopped listening. 2007 was a one-off, and Thompson pissing away the R nomination was the end.
Commies to the left of me, cowards to the right.
[69]
Parting thought- What would happen if Byrd died over thanksgiving does WV hold a special election or is someone appointed in that state?
[70]
three amigos
[71]
Appointment I think. But the enemy would use his death to gain a sympathy vote from one of the rinos.
[72]
1 hour till poetry night, peeps. Winner gets Sarah’s new book. If you already have a copy, bring your A-game anyway because you can always gift it.
[73]
I am writing “Ode to Mary Landrieu” as we speak…
[74]
“This is clearly not the work of some hacker, but of an insider who’s now blown the whistle.”
Aw, Gee BJG got that one right a day ago…..
Too obvious of course.
[75]
Yeah, that’s why I copied that part of the quote in the post.
Glad to see you caught that Dr. D!
Weren’t you the one who said that?
[76]
Did Lieberman vote yes?
[77]
vote was 60/40 as expected.
[78]
Good cause I put him in a poem already with the expectation that he was full of crap
[79]
He is a dem after all.They come with crap as a standard accessory.
[80]
Weren’t you the one who said that? — INC
Shhh. Nobody is supposed to know I am on the IPCC Inquisition Squad!
[81]
So CrappyCare is motioned forward. @#$%@!#$% @#$% @#$^ #@$%&^#$%^ @$#%#* $%^& #@ @#$ ^#$ &
[82]
INC, if anything this should slow down the climate monster if only because a whole bevy of careers are just about ended. If you wish to commit a fraud on the scientific community you must do it well and never be discovered. But once you are exposed you are toast.
To not publish is to perish in the brain game. For those exposed in the emails, no scientific journal of any reputation will touch these people or their results with a 10 meter pole. Unable to push their ‘results’ they will drift to oblivion unless political forces maintain their stature. That’s doubtful over the long term.
Such an Inconvenient Suite of Email.
[83]
no scientific journal of any reputation will touch these people or their results with a 10 meter pole.
That’s 32.8 feet for you English……..
[84]
They’ve been published.
Now they should perish!
(professionally, that is).