The Fog of Elections!
2009 November 3
Post anything you’ve got on any of the elections here…help us cut through the fog!
65 Responses
leave one →
“He was guilty of nothing, except that he earned his own fortune and never forgot that it was his.“ The concept contained within that phrase is what has set America apart, and made her the greatest nation on Earth. And it is the systematic attack on that concept, that this website is dedicated to fighting. This website is NOT devoted to making people “wealthy”, but rather to fighting the notion that the “wealth” they DO have needs to be “redistributed”.
Stay Updated
Get the latest and the greatest news delivered for free to your reader or your inbox:
RSS Feed Email Updates
[1]
Has anyone heard/seen anything on early exit-polling? I realize it’s early…but then by this time in 2000 CBS had already declared alGore the new President!
anyway…I started this thread so folks stuck at work could have a place to come and check out rumors, news…whatever!
[2]
Michael Medved said he heard that the internal polling in CA-10 is a mere 2-3 points, between Harmer and Garamendi.
[3]
Interesting janzam. Jim Geraghty just had an interesting post on both that CA-10 race and a New Jersey update. Here is the Geraghty site link, he is making frequent updates and is usually reliable:
http://hillaryspot.nationalreview.com/
[4]
In CA-10 if the Dem dosent win in double digits that is a huge turnaround in that district and good for our prospects next year. I hope that polling is correct, janzam.
[5]
Waiting, waiting, waiting…
[6]
There supposedly was some leak in VA showing McD ahead by 22% around noon…. could be BS and you have to factor in the rest of the day as well.
[7]
btw that was a leak from NOVA… where that sort of margin should not exist, Deeds camp quote “we’re getting killed by independents”.
[8]
btw if anyone is interested Illions is having a teleconference call at 8pm, email him for the details.
http://www.gopusanj.com/wordpress/?p=9431
[9]
Yes, Hot Air has a link to PPP
Indies are breaking to the right.
VA
94% of Republicans are for Bob McDonnell to 87% of Democrats for Creigh Deeds.
McDonnell is up 63-33 with independents.
NY-23
Doug Hoffman is winning 71% of the GOP vote to Bill Owens’ 67% of the Democratic vote.
Hoffman leads Owens 52-30 with independents.
NJ
Chris Christie is getting 82% of the Republican vote while Jon Corzine is at 72% of the Democratic vote.
Christie leads 52-29 with independents.
ME
77% of Republicans support the overturn of gay marriage while 71% of Democrats are opposed to it.
Independents say they’ll vote for it by a 52-46 margin.
[10]
Those are huge independent margins in VA, NY & NJ.
[11]
Sounds like independents have had enough of “hope and change.”
Come on home, brothers and sisters.
[12]
Boehner Regrets Backing Scozzafava in NY Race
HT Newsmax
Think Boehner’s seen the light or is this wishful thinking?
[13]
To tell you’all the truth, I’ve been very proud of this country in the past. However, I definitely could stand to have my pride in this country reinforced tonight.
[14]
Check out this little gem from HHR: http://www.rslc.com/ElectionResults
Click on either state for results
[15]
The House Republican leader says he regrets that he and other members of his party spent time and money supporting the GOP nominee in a special House election in upstate New York.
Gee, do you think the captain of the Titanic had second thoughts about ignoring warnings of ice bergs?
[16]
Oh JOhn… you took that ugly bitch to the prom and she dumped before you the music started… NOW .. send me back my money you stupid ass!!! I donated to take the gavel out of Pelosi’s hands.. not glue it as tight as her facelift.
[17]
Click on either state for results
LOL, the results in New Jersey currently are:
Governor
Chris Christie 0%
Governor Jon Corzine 100%
Chris Daggett 0%
Must be run by Acorn/SEIU.
[18]
Hey Judy
On second thought, Johnny boy probably still doesn’t get it–we aren’t against GOP candidates, John, we’re against liberal GOP candidates. And she wasn’t nominated–she was selected.
[19]
MPT, I didn’t even notice the “pre-results”
LOL
[20]
BlueVirginia is blogging the news from the kool-aid drinking moonbat perspective… and nothing looks good for them… wonder if I should send over a case of cherry kool-aid?
Yes, the rumor is that deepest of blue Arlington was exit polling McDonnell ahead… McDonnell winning (or close to even) in Arlington means exactly one thing — having a plan for transportation (McDonnell) and stating that you would raise taxes to pay for transportation (Deeds) has more of an impact on vote decision making than the R or the D. Could it be? Could NOVA wake up and vote common sense instead of skin color. Nope.. looks like the delegate in my district is going D after being R for a long time … there it is a brown versus black issue. Only trouble is that I am not sure the D candidate could bring in the DC residents to vote today like they did 12 months ago.
Okay, the conventional wisdom from the senior citizen sect: Mother said high turnout/busy voting in our rural area north of Charlottesville… but there are many local/county races up from grabs so there is a lot of local interest. She also joked that her little check your ballot showed all Ds… I said that was prima facie evidence that dementia had set in and I could have her put away in a home. She didn’t think my retort was any funnier than the humor I found in her joke. I have nightmares that I mistakenly vote for a D. Mom quickly confessed that while on Sunday she was considering a down ticket D… she elected to send the MESSAGE and vote straight R.
Sadly, we still have some “old south” people in the neighborhood who vote D because Abraham Lincoln was a Republican…just one of those sad facts of life… not isn’t it…
[21]
o/t .. hey gang I am trying the new Obama “stimulus plan” diet… it works just like Zero’s stimulus plan, but with a twist. You measure your success by adding the pounds you lose to the pounds you didn’t gain….
I am so pleased to report that last month I lost or didn’t gain 10,005 pounds!!!!!
[22]
via hhr
—
#
Per my sources, preliminary exits:
Hudson: Corzine 62 Christie 32 Daggett 6
Passaic: Christie 55 Corzine 40 Daggett 5
Bergen: Corzine 48 Christie 46 Daggett 6
Essex: Corzine 56 Christie 41 Daggett 4
Mercer: Christie 53 Corzine 39 Daggett 8
Middlesex: Christie 49 Corzine 42 Daggett 9
Cape May: Christie 74 Corzine 24 Daggett 4
Extrapolating, Christie appears to be doing what he needs to do. We’ll see…
Comment by NJ Conservative — November 3, 2009 @ 5:04 pm
[23]
Twitter:
Whoa. @NotLarrySabato: “This might be the largest margin for a Virginia Republican in the state’s history.” I presume he means McDonnell?
[24]
The intereting thing about the above is that Daggett is coming in so much lower than his last standing in the polls.. which means that those who would throw their vote away on him… either… (1) stayed home = same result… or (2) changed at the last minute… which gives me hope that they held their nose and voted for Christie… (hold their nose as in refusing to vote for a Republican)…
[25]
does Boehner regret supporting her or just spending the money?
[26]
#21 ROFL!!!!!
[27]
“The intereting thing about the above is that Daggett is coming in so much lower than his last standing in the polls”
—
Not really 8-11 is where he was at, and something less than that was expected as 3rd party.
[28]
Good Evening Everyone!
The discussion the other day was whether we would need some wine, champagne or a beer to make it through the night.
Sorry, I gotta go to Lansing in the morning so it’s 7-up.
[29]
PolitickerNJ is reporting the North and South wards of Newark are each reporting about 4000 votes…a local Dem Rep says that should be enough for a narrow Corzine win.
[30]
HOORAY,HOORAY, IT’S ERECTION DAY,
THE LEFTIST DITCHCARP WE WILL FILLET,
UPON THE ANVIL OF REVENGE WE WILL SMITE THEIR BALLS,
LET US RUN THEM FROM THEIR CONGRESSIONAL HALLS,
THE SLEEPING GIANT WILL KEEP THEM AT BAY.
[31]
[32]
Ben Smith of Politico:
[33]
Cops called in NY 23 NY 23
[34]
“hope and change.” — Mullet
Before this night is thru I hope that changes to “slaughter and neuter.”
[35]
I love this comment at HA.
“This isn’t funny. Do you know how much carnage a tea-party grandma armed with stickers can cause? Be afraid, be very afraid.”
–
[36]
I just read that the state officials in New Jersey say that 100,000 votes won’t be counted till morning. HUH????
[37]
Does that mean that Christie will have a 99,999 lead tonight and lose by 1 in the morning?
[38]
MI,
NJ has changed its election laws. They provide absentee balloting pretty much like Washington State now. I heard Pat Caddel on ‘Your World’ say that the counts are pretty damn high in places like Camden (Taught there. It looked like Dresden after the Blitz.). Ballots of absentees have to be validated to be legal. Hence the delay.
[39]
Okay quick analysis of #22 – compared to 2008…difference between
Corzane/Obama Christie/McCain
Bergen -6.4% 0.42%
Cape May -21.5% 19.48%
Essex -20.0% 17.00%
Hudson -11.3% 5.33%
Mercer -28.9% 20.88%
Middlesex -18.8% 9.81%
Passaic -20.6% 15.56%
These counties represent roughly 42% of the vote from 2008. Statewide Obama took 57.4% to McCain 42.6, but in these counties Obama was took the higher 63.9% to 36.1%.
So the average is that Corzine is trailing Obama roughly 16% in the area where Obama took almost 64% of the vote, and Christie is outperforming McCain roughly 12.6% (all unweighted). In the unreported areas the split between Obama/McCain was 52.6% to 47.4%.
At these numbers Corzine would have to hold over 95% of the Obama vote in the unreported areas to come out ahead.
Okay this is all rough…and subject to interpretation.. but it does appear that these are the swing areas … it may be a happy night for Christie in New Jersey!!!
[40]
I just read that the state officials in New Jersey say that 100,000 votes won’t be counted till morning.
Would that be the absentee ballots? From the Newsmax link I posted on the previous thread:
“Absentee ballots become critical in every recount, and New Jersey officials are reporting a marked increase in requests for absentee ballots.
“There has been a reported surge in absentee balloting, which might be suspicious but isn’t necessarily proof of anything,” Vadum tells Newsmax.
Fund reports that state officials received “a flood” of more than 180,000 requests for absentee ballots.”
[41]
I went terribly wrong on that HTML, but it sure looks pretty doesn’t it?!?
[42]
OR… should I say that if these numbers are correct (and my quick analysis is correct)
it could be a big fat win for Christie!
[43]
Thanks for the info.
What you are saying is: we all should have asked for an absentee ballot in NJ. Why do I not trust the state or their system?
[44]
OT- via ABC news
Top Dems: Obama Won’t Get Health Care Bill in 2009
By JONATHAN KARL
Senior Congressional Democrats say reform before end of year is highly unlikely.
[45]
MiCon – why yes, because again, the Dems are on the side of justice! per that same Newsmax link:
Fund also reported that the state’s Democratic Party is pressuring county clerks around the Garden State to downplay signature checks on absentee ballots. Without such checking, it is very difficult to detect absentee vote fraud.
[46]
If that’s the way the game is played, why doesn’t our side do the same??
[47]
ip—-We’re the side of truth, justice and the American way.
So, which is more corrupt? Chicago or New Jersey?
[48]
Of course Validated = “vote for Corzine”
[49]
Judy run those again Forrester in 2005, bottom line assuming those are accurate which they’re probably not Christie could win by a thin margin.
[50]
Jon Corzine Democratic 1,224,551 53.47%
Doug Forrester Republican 985,271 43.02%
[51]
As TLS indicated elsewhere, ACORN is in from Penn and NY and you can bet the voter fraud on the absentee ballots will be huge. John Fund said there may be as many as 180,000. If that is so Corzine will overcome any legitimate Christie lead.
I saw them beat old B-1 Bob Dornan out here by showing up with crates of absentee votes from Hispanic voters many moons ago.
[52]
out hear?
[53]
New Jersey could be another Florida 2000 or Minnesota 2008.
[54]
Cape May Corzine 45.2% 14,375
Forrester 50.9% 16,179
Bergen Corzine 55.6% 142,319
Forrester 42.2% 108,017
essex Corzine 72.7% 131,312
Forrester 25.4% 45,789
Hudson Corzine 75.4% 87,409
Forrester 22.2% 25,769
Mercer Corzine 57.1% 56,592
Forrester 39.2% 38,871
Middlesex Corzine 56.0% 107,176
Forrester 39.2% 75,021
Passaic Corzine 57.9% 61,803
Forrester 38.9% 41,532
Hudson: Corzine 62 Christie 32 Daggett 6
Passaic: Christie 55 Corzine 40 Daggett 5
Bergen: Corzine 48 Christie 46 Daggett 6
Essex: Corzine 56 Christie 41 Daggett 4
Mercer: Christie 53 Corzine 39 Daggett 8
Middlesex: Christie 49 Corzine 42 Daggett 9
Cape May: Christie 74 Corzine 24 Daggett 4
Corizine down from 2005
Hudson -13
Passaic -2.9
Bergen -7
Essex -16
Mercer -4
Middlesex 7
Cape May -21
Christie Up from Forester
Hudson +10
Passaic +16
Bergen + 4
Essex +16
Mercer +14
Middlesex +10
Cape May +24
I did that quick… I have to run… these are the swing or bellweather counties… so I am still feeling good…
It will be close.. because the Democrats are cheating, lying scum… what else can I say!!!!
[55]
twitter on exit polling
[56]
It ain’t over till the fat, uummmm, lady sings.
[57]
Is it true that Christie’s celebration party is being held at Dunkin’ Donuts?
[58]
been in meetings all day…I’m so glad to able to come here and get caught up!
ya’ll ROCK!! thx
[59]
I absolutely hate meeting days at work.
Time to relax justrand!
[60]
Hey, when the meeting is announced changes in compensentation plan I am all ears!! Meeting still stinks but the topic is critical.
[61]
“So, which is more corrupt? Chicago or New Jersey?”
Which stole a Presidential election?
[62]
“Is it true that Christie’s celebration party is being held at Dunkin’ Donuts?”
Yes, the inaugural will be at Krispie Kreeme.
[63]
fox: may not know outcome of NJ tonight.
[64]
I guess the GOP will need a big tent just to fit Christie in.
[65]
“fox: may not know outcome of NJ tonight.”
Waiting for the “graveyard shift” vote to be counted.