Rasmussen & the Stupidity of the American Voter

2010 May 29
by bc3b

On BJG we have had some lively discussions regarding the Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking and its abrupt shifts. For example, as you can see below, Obama improved by 10 points in just four days (from -22 to -12). His overall approval rating approved from -13  on Wednesday to -3 yesterday.

Gallup has Obama at -2 today (45/47).

 Date    Presidential Approval Index    Strongly Approve    Strongly Disapprove    Total Approve    Total Disapprove  
5/29/2010 -12 28% 40% 48% 52%
5/28/2010 -12 28% 40% 48% 51%
5/27/2010 -16 26% 42% 45% 53%
5/26/2010 -22 23% 45% 43% 56%
5/25/2010 -20 24% 44% 42% 56%
5/24/2010 -18 25% 43% 44% 55%
5/23/2010 -17 26% 43% 45% 54%
5/22/2010 -15 27% 42% 48% 52%

Yet, according to other Rasmussen polls, Obama is out of step with the majority of Americans on virtually every issue:

In recent weeks, a majority has come out in favor of Arizona’s new immigration law and a majority would like it for the state in which they reside.

Given this , why doesn’t Barack Obama have disapproval rates that George Bush had during the latter stages of his presidency? Is it just a fawning media which works to portray everything in a positive light, or are there other factors.

Hat tips: Rasmussen Reports and Gallup Organization

finger-1.jpg picture by bc3b

Why aren’t more Americans giving Obama “the finger?” Why isn’t his approval rating in the low 30s?

“Bring it on Eph. I’m ready.”

46 Responses leave one →
  1. 2010 May 29 11:12 am
    [1]
    bc3b permalink

    I think a lot of it has to do with the media. While the media has lost a lot of its punch (newspaper circulation and evening news viewership is down), it still is a force to be reconed with. Independents still get a lot of their news and views from the “Three Stooges.”

  2. 2010 May 29 11:17 am
    [2]
    JustMary permalink

    There was an excellent post on HA the other day on the left still controlling the narrative because something like 80% of links come from only a handful of stations, and they are all left leaning.

  3. 2010 May 29 11:24 am
    [3]
    bc3b permalink

    Unfortunately, the left controls: 1) information. 2) education and 3) the government

  4. 2010 May 29 11:31 am
    [4]
    fedupartist permalink

    Unfortunately, the left controls: 1) information. 2) education and 3) the government

    Add the entertainment industry to that. Which influences culture.

  5. 2010 May 29 11:35 am
    [5]
    bc3b permalink

    If you take a look at the polls, you’ll see that the ones sponsoredd by the media give Obama the highest ratings. These polls are designed to drive rather than reflect public opinion.

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html

  6. 2010 May 29 11:36 am
    [6]

    BC,

    I really dont not much to add other than ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ

    Wake me up when you see a “D+0” poll

    I’m on record that RAS tracking is just as bad as GALLUP. Both are trash.

    Just b/c RAS “nailed” 2008 does not make him the king of 2010 pollsters.

    New thread please! LOL

  7. 2010 May 29 11:36 am
    [7]
    JustMary permalink

    #3 I think they may lose their control over education eventually. After watching GB yesterday, I am encouraged by Wall Builder’s efforts to restore textbooks to include information the left fought to remove in the 80’s. On top of that, the dramatic financial losses to schools recently means that not only will more people be homeschooling, and there is a chance that the states could union bust to save money. It is a desperate move which will be heavily fought, but it could happen. Also, more people are awake and paying attention to what their kids are being taught and seeking out alternative information from what they say in the news. I think this is why bloggers have a target on them right now.

  8. 2010 May 29 11:39 am
    [8]

    “47.4 / 46.1”

    Reality using:

    1. D+0
    2. Likely voters
    3. At least 1500 people

    you get…

    40.4/53.1

  9. 2010 May 29 11:39 am
    [9]
    bc3b permalink

    Eph –

    Take a look at the link on #5. The media-sponsored polls are usually much more favorable to Obama (agenda-driven).

  10. 2010 May 29 11:41 am
    [10]

    “Gallup has Obama at -2 today (45/47).”

    Ask yourself…HOW IS THAT POSSIBLE????????????????????

    Gallup uses REGISTERED voters and higher DEMs % in their sampling.

    hhhhhhhhmmmmmmmmm

  11. 2010 May 29 11:42 am
    [11]

    9. So taking into account their biases, you could easily subtract 7 points off the RCP average.

  12. 2010 May 29 11:50 am
    [12]
    drdog09 permalink

    In certain ways, the BP spill points to the ineffectiveness of both government and the media. The media for waiting so long to chew his butt, the government for not being able to effect anything. On top of that we are reaching the end of ‘Throw money at it.’ solutions.

    Steyn had an excellent article this week, ‘We can’t afford to be this stupid’. The fact is We (the royal one) are broke. The people soon enough will demand the onion be peeled back. I suggest that Christie is the lead in that regard. His numbers have dropped some but are steady as he goes about doing what he said he would do. This in a State that for years was so Blue you could paint your house with it.

  13. 2010 May 29 12:07 pm
    [13]
    fedupartist permalink

    The silence of the Greens.

    Where are they?

    lol

    They’d be in DC by the THOUSANDS if there was an R in the WH.

  14. 2010 May 29 12:16 pm
    [14]
    JustMary permalink

    With everything still being Bush’s fault, I thought an R was still in the White House. At least Obama’s kids are holding his feet to the fire with their constant questioning! Daddy, when will you fix [relevant xyz news story]? Seditious little things they are for asking such questions!

  15. 2010 May 29 12:32 pm
    [15]
    bc3b permalink

    CBS, NBC and CNN all have Obama is positive territory. How is that possible 9other than by rigging the sampling)?

  16. 2010 May 29 12:33 pm
    [16]
    brucefdb permalink

    Many Americans are still buying the line that Obama is trying hard and that Rs and Ds just can’t get along. It’s their fault not his. That will change as November approaches and more people will get educated.

    I personally think you can subtract at least 5 points from Obama’s favorables because white people don’t feel comfortable telling a stranger they don’t like the black guy.

  17. 2010 May 29 12:35 pm
    [17]
    CheshireCat permalink

    Brave Barack Obama ran away
    Bravely, ran away
    When a challenge from Jan Brewer reared its head
    He bravely turned his tail and fled
    Yes, brave Barack Obama turned about
    And gallantly he chickened out
    Bravely taking to his feet
    He beat a very brave retreat
    Bravest of the brave, Barack Obama

  18. 2010 May 29 12:41 pm
    [18]
    brucefdb permalink

    There are two nice pieces on the IBD Opinion pages today:

    The first reminds one of all the damage the Clintons did that most have forgotten. Excerpt:

    In 1995, he rewrote the Community Reinvestment Act to mandate “flexible” underwriting of mortgages, while broadening HUD’s power to regulate Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

    By 2000, the mortgage giants were pushed into devoting half their lending to support affordable-housing goals. That meant accepting risky subprime loans to borrowers with low credit scores — something Clinton’s HUD.

    It was also Clinton’s idea to give affordable-housing goal credits to Fannie and Freddie for securitizing subprime and other high-risk loans. The government-mandated risk soon spread to Wall Street.

    Read the rest of it, you will be shaking your head at how much harm he did.

  19. 2010 May 29 12:43 pm
    [19]
    bc3b permalink

    O/T It appears the third attempt at “Top Kill” is not successful.

  20. 2010 May 29 12:43 pm
    [20]
    drdog09 permalink

    An exchange that happened in one of my classes:

    “You know I am pissed. Those SOB’s approved DADT! If Obama signs off on this I am taking a bead on him.”

    Other student — “Take a number I already have him targeted.”

    Now the first student is a retired Master Sgt. US Army. The other student is a current Lt. US Army, will rotate to Afgan duty in Aug. Both are black. Religious upbringing overcoming race I guess.

  21. 2010 May 29 12:45 pm
    [21]
    brucefdb permalink

    The second is by the great Thomas Sowell and is a pointed attack on commencement speeches. Short and well worth the read.

  22. 2010 May 29 12:47 pm
    [22]
    drdog09 permalink

    Bruce,

    Please Lord, let us crash it all soon. Sooner we do, the sooner we can reboot.

  23. 2010 May 29 12:57 pm
    [23]
    drdog09 permalink

    O/T It appears the third attempt at “Top Kill” is not successful.

    That’s what they get for not using Titlest TopFlite.

    That’s a joke Son, a joke.

  24. 2010 May 29 1:03 pm
    [24]

    Please Lord, let us crash it all soon. Sooner we do, the sooner we can reboot.

    Unfortunately the only boot will be the one planted in our faces.

  25. 2010 May 29 1:09 pm
    [25]

    “O/T It appears the third attempt at “Top Kill” is not successful.”

    I thought the first try worked???????

  26. 2010 May 29 1:18 pm
    [26]
    JustMary permalink

    Send bubba over there with the hay, stat!

  27. 2010 May 29 1:18 pm
    [27]
    JustMary permalink

    Hell, send Tampax! Send somebody!

  28. 2010 May 29 1:19 pm
    [28]
    JustMary permalink

    Fresh Step?

  29. 2010 May 29 1:23 pm
    [29]
    JustMary permalink

    Remember, folks….Poetry night tonight at 4pst, though I am considering making it 3pst….stay tuned. CC got us started early! Great prize tonight as well!

  30. 2010 May 29 1:24 pm
    [30]
    drdog09 permalink

    The Global Explorer brought up 1/4 of a Russian sub from 5 miles down, back in the 70’s. Seems to me the same ship could place a coffer dam around the leak, robotic arms attach piping and be done with it. And guess what, that very same ship is serving in the Gulf right now for drilling test bores. Still has her underwater thru-hull too.

    Get some Louisiana drill riggers and a few Hughes engineers and they can do it. I can’t believe that what was accomplished in the 1970’s is now impossible today.

  31. 2010 May 29 2:13 pm
    [31]
    retlaw permalink

    Did they, or did they not, try to lower a concrete container (with bottom open, and with a pipe attached to top and running to the surface) and place it over the leak?

    Idea was to place the contraption over the gushing broken pipe and redirect the crude oil flow up to the surface to be captured and controled.

  32. 2010 May 29 2:13 pm
    [32]
    bc3b permalink

    #30 Perhaps it can work drdog09. They have attempted Top Kill (aka Junk Shot) three times without any success.

    The thing I find so strange is that Obama and his team seem to be just going about business as usual (vacations, golf, opera, etc.) as millions of gallons og crude escape into the Gulf.

  33. 2010 May 29 2:18 pm
    [33]
    retlaw permalink

    Some years back there was a big oil spill in the Persial Gulf that someone on one of the blogs recently spoke of. They said that specialized ships sucked up the oil off the surface and that 85% of all that leaked was recaptured.

    Are there any current efforts in the BP leak to capture the oil once it hits the surface?

  34. 2010 May 29 2:21 pm
    [34]
    drdog09 permalink

    retlaw, yes they did. But it was a skimpy affair. My mind is thinking a precast concrete cofferdam weighing up to 100 tons. Its done in bridge construction quite regularly.

  35. 2010 May 29 2:32 pm
    [35]
    mulletover permalink

    I think Obama purposely neglected this spill and the resultant damage. By putting Sec Chu and other wacked out intelligencia on review teams, he even created obstructions.

    It will all serve the green agenda of his butt-buddy Van Jones quite well.

  36. 2010 May 29 2:35 pm
    [36]

    The thing I find so strange is that Obama and his team seem to be just going about business as usual (vacations, golf, opera, etc.) as millions of gallons og crude escape into the Gulf.

    bc3b

    Not at all strange, as this gives numbnuts the excuse to stop all offshore driling.

  37. 2010 May 29 2:44 pm
    [37]
    JustMary permalink

    #36 The more of a crisis it became, the better the chance to not let it go to waste.

  38. 2010 May 29 2:50 pm
    [38]
    beej permalink

    “You know I am pissed. Those SOB’s approved DADT! If Obama signs off on this I am taking a bead on him.”

    Other student — “Take a number I already have him targeted.”
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    I hope they think this through. That would leave us with Joe Biden. That could be a whole ‘nuther problem…

  39. 2010 May 29 2:52 pm
    [39]
    drdog09 permalink

    That would leave us with Joe Biden. That could be a whole ‘nuther problem…

    Oh I don’t know. We have one screw up that is trying to do it on purpose. So it can’t be so bad if we have a screw up that does not have a clue. 🙂

  40. 2010 May 29 2:57 pm
    [40]
    JustMary permalink

    That is why I personally think Biden was chosen (insurance). The line behind him is no picnic either though. Pelosi? Ack!!!!

  41. 2010 May 29 2:57 pm
    [41]
    bc3b permalink

    “O/T It appears the third attempt at “Top Kill” is not successful.”

    I thought the first try worked???????

    So did Barack. But, he’s not going to let something like a little oil screw up his holiday weekend in the Windy City.

    http://www.nytimes.com/2010/05/30/us/30spill.html?hp

  42. 2010 May 29 2:59 pm
    [42]
    JustMary permalink

    #41 Maybe it held long enough for a press conference?

  43. 2010 May 29 3:00 pm
    [43]

  44. 2010 May 29 3:03 pm
    [44]
    JustMary permalink

    Poetry thread is up! Tis a good prize!!!!

  45. 2010 May 29 3:06 pm
    [45]
    TLS permalink

    That would leave us with Joe Biden. That could be a whole ‘nuther problem…

    I don’t know, it would probably be two years before anyone figured out what crazy joe was talking about.

  46. 2010 May 29 6:13 pm
    [46]

    fyi placing dome over the leak and sucking the oil up that way they tried at first. It didn’t work.. well it worked but apparently some crystallization was caused by methane gas that was then blocking up the pipe to the surface. I will not pretend to know the details on that but that’s what was reported. They are basically going back to that approach now I guess with some attempted solution at the crystallization problem. Personally it seemed to me this was the approach to keep on the whole time and maybe they always were but need time to solve-prepare a better solution so the t-k was a mid step worth trying while they work through preparing another entrap and collect attempt.

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