Greece’s Trump Card, Russia’s Ace

2012 May 29
by drdog09

Speculation of Greece’s exit from the Euro mounts every day. Corps are pulling their cash holdings out daily now. There is an ongoing bank run being conducted over the Internet as we write this.

High drama no doubt but not the focus of this piece. Has anybody thought about what happens next?? Oh yes the Drachma will rise again, but that is already baked. No. Anybody thought about the political situation?? Greece had elections and could not agree to a coalition government so they are having elections again. But what if no government can be formed? What then?

The Dog’s food bowl, paltry as it is, says Russia steps in. Nothing gaudy as tanks or planes. The logistics are not favorable, just like they are not for America to assist Georgia. But they will step up to shouldering the propping up of the Drachma and attempting to forge political and economic ties. And why would Russia do this?

1) Geopolitical. It would be favorable to Russia to have at least one favorable partner leaning against one edge of the Bosphorus Strait. Turkey is increasingly drifting into the Islamic sphere and becoming less cooperative with Moscow. Its a hedge.

2) The bigger one is religious. Scratch out the 80 years of the Communist Mistake and one sees a huge interlink between the Greek and Russian Orthodox Church. Whereas the Greeks were the fountain of the ROC, Russia of yesterday and today sees its role as the muscular son protecting the mother religion. On that basis alone Russia will see a humanitarian interest in Greece distinct from its geopolitical concerns.

Some will say Putin the strongman won’t care. I beg to differ. I watch the Easter Procession with my wife every year on TV. Putin has not missed a procession since he first became president the last time around. The man knows the power of the ROC in his country and he follows behind dutifully.

Russia will make it’s move within months after the Greek exit. All I can say is — watch for it.

10 Responses leave one →
  1. 2012 May 29 12:19 pm
    [1]
    justrand permalink

    excellent analysis…and very thought provoking!

    I hadn’t considered the direct connects between the GOC and ROC…but they are real.

    And Russia would LOVE to be able to pressure (a) Turkey and (b) NATO in one fell swoop!!!

    Meanwhile, we have Resident Skippy…so we are SOL.

  2. 2012 May 29 1:09 pm
    [3]
    bc3b permalink

    Ever notice how other countries (e.g. Russia) always put themselves first? The U.S., on the other hand, seems most interested in doing what’s best for other countries (even if the result hurts us). NAFTA is the first example that comes to mind.

  3. 2012 May 29 1:46 pm
    [4]
    MI Conservative permalink

    Do we get to see Ms. Texas later today?

    Link to Dem election results. Can Pres Skippy be held under 50%?

    http://enr.sos.state.tx.us/enr/results/may29_161_state.htm

  4. 2012 May 29 3:18 pm
    [5]
    drdog09 permalink

    MIC,

    Don’t count all your chickens about the Dims. Here in Texas the Dims have a Primary – Caucus arrangement. Can’t have a winner without both events. Background here — http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=19211076

  5. 2012 May 29 3:28 pm
    [6]
    drdog09 permalink

    Putin reject WH talks… — KH link

    Hmmm. I guess Medvenev delivered the message to Putin for Skippy about ‘more flexibility’. Guess Putin took it to mean HE had more flexibility and threw Skippy under HIS bus! I relish the thought when really I shouldn’t.

  6. 2012 May 29 4:33 pm
    [7]
    bc3b permalink

    Texas polls close in half and hour (7 pm Central Time). Can Cruz force a run-off? Will Zippy get 58% – 60% as he has recently been getting? Could he slip below 50%?

    Check the results beginning at 8 PM God’s Time/5 PM Moonbeam time.

  7. 2012 May 29 4:39 pm
    [8]
    drdog09 permalink

    Spain should serve as Schreckensbeispiel (a horrible example) to Americans. If we do not give Americans the opportunity to realize their dreams, be the best in the world, hit the ball out of the park, go for the gold, we will fail as a nation. In a winner-take-all world the devil takes the hindmost. If we penalize the winners, we guarantee that all of us will fail. Spain shows how quickly a seemingly prosperous country can come apart when its entrepreneurial engine stalls. If we don’t eject the most anti-business president in American history, we will look not like Europe, but like Spain. — Spengler

    http://pjmedia.com/spengler/2012/05/28/lessons-from-europes-winners-and-losers/?singlepage=true

  8. 2012 May 29 4:48 pm
    [9]
    MI Conservative permalink

    Detroit Tigers are suffering bad! Umpires suck all over da league. Not just Detroit. Need to make umpires punishments public.

  9. 2012 May 29 5:06 pm
    [10]
    drdog09 permalink

    I love Marvel Comics — http://news.cnet.com/8301-17852_3-57441370-71/marvel-creates-superhero-for-boy-with-hearing-aid/?tag=rtcol;mostPop — It takes heart to listen to the lone voice of a 4yo child and do something about it.

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