“Secret Voters” Went 2-1 for Trump

2019 May 21
by bc3b

Here’s an article from Yahoo “News” that’s semi-honest and that’s about the best one can expect from Yahoo “News.” It states that “secret voters” (those who declined to publicly state their voting preference) went for Trump over Clinton by a 2-1 margin in 2016.

The article then becomes dishonest, stating that people didn’t state their preference because they were ashamed of their choice. Nothing could be further from the truth. Many didn’t state their preference because of fear of violence, vandalism or retribution from the “tolerant left.” Ever hear of a house or vehicle being vandalized because of a Hillary yard sign or bumper sticker? Neither did I. Ever hear of anyone being physically attacked for wearing a Hillary campaign button of tee-shirt (if such a ting existed). Ever hear of Hillary supporters being attacked by thugs after a campaign rally?

What the article suggests is why polls are inaccurate and can no longer be believed. Even if the poll attempts to be honest and objective (most don’t) non-liberals are reluctant to answer. That explains why the polls have been wrong so many times – Trump, Brexit and – just last week – Australia.

WASHINGTON — Some supporters of Donald Trump proudly tout their loyalty with “Make America Great Again” T-shirts and hats, taking delight in the irritation they may cause critics of the president. There’s even a thriving market for Trump tattoos, which take that provocation to an entirely new — not to mention permanent — level.But some who voted for Trump kept quiet about casting their vote for him in the 2016 election, fearing condemnation from friends, family and co-workers. A new study finds that “secret” Trump voters were twice as common as “secret” voters for Hillary Clinton. In fact, more than half of all secret voters were Trump supporters.

The study may explain why polls so badly misjudged the election, practically handing it to Clinton. The apparent hesitation people may have had about admitting support for Trump is a variation on the so-called Bradley effect, in which poll respondents overstate support for an African-American candidate.

Given how divisive Trump remains, the same effect could repeat itself in 2020. Polls in battleground states have recently shown Trump falling behind former vice president and Democratic presidential contender Joe Biden. But these polls, like the ones that showed Clinton winning in 2016, could be failing to tap into a secret reserve of support for Trump.

The new study, “Motivated Secrecy: Politics, Relationships, and Regrets” was co-authored by Michael Slepian and Rachel McDonald of Columbia Business School, Jessica Salerno of Arizona State University and Katharine Greenaway of the University of Melbourne. It will be published in the social science journal Motivational Science.

The study began just after the surprising 2016 presidential election results. The researchers located 1,000 people “who secretly voted for someone other than whom they publicly claimed to have voted for.” They found that 53 percent of these secret voters voted for Trump, while 27 percent voted for Clinton. Another 19 percent voted for a third party candidate (some believe that support for fringe candidates like Jill Stein and Gary Johnson swung the election to Trump).

“Trump voters were more concerned about their reputation than Clinton supporters,” Slepian of Columbia told Yahoo News. They were aware of the “reputational implications of supporting Trump,” fearing that they may be grouped with some of Trump’s more objectionable statements, as well as his more fringe supporters, including those who espoused xenophobic or white supremacist viewpoints.

“Guilt or regret was something we saw our participants express,” Slepian said.

The study found that “the more conservative” the study’s participants, “the less they regretted keeping their vote secret.” Clinton supporters had a different regret: “Liberal participants may have wished that they voiced their support for Clinton in advance of the election,” the authors write.

The study also found that secret voters were most likely to hide their political preference from family. This should not be surprising, as there have been many accounts of a spouse discovering that his or her loved one is a Trump supporter. In 2017, a woman wrote in MEL Magazine of learning that her husband, who claimed to have voted for libertarian candidate Johnson, had actually voted for Trump. The woman, a sexual assault survivor, was horrified.

“It was like being punched in the gut. I was so flabbergasted, so hurt, so betrayed,” she wrote, explaining a little later that Trump “embodies everything I stand against and everything we don’t want our children to be.” She concluded that article by describing how she was coming to terms with her husband’s decision to vote for Trump.

Hat tip: Yahoo News

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16 Responses leave one →
  1. 2019 May 21 10:09 am
    [1]
    JimNorCal permalink

    Commenter at JustOneMinute notes this story:

    Despite these attacks and more, journalists with HuffPost, The Guardian, and the Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC) have maintained connections with Antifa activists, a new report revealed.
    https://pjmedia.com/trending/report-shows-online-ties-linking-huffpost-the-guardian-and-splc-to-antifa/

  2. 2019 May 21 10:56 am
    [2]
    JimNorCal permalink

    Also from JOM blog comments
    Wyoming rancher’s analogy of the Mueller report and Democrats’ hapless ongoing efforts in one sentence:

    “While we recognize that Trump did not actually steal any horses, he is obviously guilty of trying to resist being hanged for it.”

  3. 2019 May 21 11:19 am
    [3]
    drdog09 permalink

    So Trump is a sheep herder?

  4. 2019 May 21 11:23 am
    [4]
    drdog09 permalink

    Soooooo, the folks that kept a tight lip went 2:1 trump?

    So I guess the journalist source for this bit of wisdom was a visit to ‘Madame Orks Tarot Cards and Mind Reading Emporium’? Can’t be explained any other way I know of….

  5. 2019 May 21 11:40 am
    [5]
    justrand permalink

    So much easier to either shine on pollsters. ..or lie to them. 🙂

  6. 2019 May 21 1:28 pm
    [6]
    drdog09 permalink

    Google IS evil — https://medium.com/@mikewacker/googles-outrage-mobs-and-witch-hunts-b1d8fa9c74d9 — A note from the guts of the beast.

  7. 2019 May 22 7:21 am
    [7]
    JimNorCal permalink

    This seems like news to me ….

    https://www.investors.com/politics/editorials/climate-change-global-warming-earth-cooling-media-bias/

    It’s not just the 2 year global cooling trend. Check out the list of unreported stories farther down the article.

  8. 2019 May 22 7:32 am
    [8]
    justrand permalink

    Wow…okay, DOUBLE wow! Neither the “wow” or “DOUBLE wow” is because the dirt-bag “”judge” is in serious jeopardy. The reasons are even clearer why she should do SERIOUS jail time (conspiracy, subterfuge, etc).

    Nope. The “wows” are for the way the Boston Globe covered it. Even for them it is appalling.

    – paragraph 1 we find out that her father was in a wheelchair when she was sworn in
    – paragraph 2 we find out he was a retired food sales manager with Parkinson’s disease
    – paragraph 3 we find he died a month later
    – paragraph 4 we find out her friends and family were happy for her appointment as judge
    – paragraph 5 we FINALLY get a hint that she MIGHT have done something wrong
    – paragraph 6-9 we are told she was “thrust” into this position for “political purposes”
    – paragraph 10-14 we learn she has teenage girls, is active in the PTA, and that her friends & family are “stunned” she is being charged. Oh, and she “wouldn’t hurt a fly”. (I am NOT making this up)
    – paragraph 15-18 we FINALLY get the facts of the case…which are DAMNING.
    – then back to fluff…==> “Unable to work, Joseph has spent the last two weeks trying to distract herself by taking long walks with her dog, a Lhasa Apso, taking spin classes and playing volleyball in an intramural group, and visiting with her mother, according to friends.”

    Get the picture?

    https://hotair.com/archives/2019/05/22/judge-helped-illegal-alien-escape-accused-subterfuge/

  9. 2019 May 22 7:52 am
    [9]
    bc3b permalink

    JR #8 –

    If the media is anything, it is biased to the point of being dishonest. ABC just hired Rahm Emanuel:

    https://www.primetimer.com/item/ABC-News-hires-former-Chicago-Mayor-Rahm-Emanuel-as-a-contributor-QwS3jj

    And CNN has Republicans like Mia Love and John Kasich as contributors.

  10. 2019 May 22 8:28 am
    [10]
    justrand permalink

    bc3b, I expect them to be dishonest…but damn, that Boston Globe fairy tale article was beyond the pale even for them.

  11. 2019 May 22 9:39 am
    [11]
    bc3b permalink

    Calls grow for Theresa May to resign:

    https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-48366977

  12. 2019 May 22 9:49 am
    [12]
    bc3b permalink

    Beto is sinking faster than the Titanic:

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2019/05/21/brutal-new-numbers-beto-orourke-bill-de-blasio/?noredirect=on&utm_term=.a61939857e45

    While I don’t trust polls, I am surprised Fauxahontas is so high. Maybe they only polled WaPo readers (all 30 of them).

  13. 2019 May 22 9:58 am
    [13]
    drdog09 permalink

    8,

    Read an early piece on that whole affair. No mention of a Lhasa Apso in that one.

    Events like this make we want to hasten the collapse. It will separate the dead from the living.

  14. 2019 May 22 10:00 am
    [14]
    drdog09 permalink

    12,

    Proves me wrong. But I still say he has the least baggage of the bunch. Easy to do when ya done nuttin.

  15. 2019 May 22 11:15 am
    [15]
    Eph permalink

    DeCommie is more hated than Trump

    Amount Dims.

    LoL!

  16. 2019 May 22 12:41 pm
    [16]
    justrand permalink

    Drdog, go to the bottom of the Boston Globe article linked out of the HotAir post. I guess they felt like they needed MORE fluff!

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