One, Two Punch

2020 September 9
tags:
by drdog09

… The author would like to acknowledge two events that have led to the current state of affairs in American political discourse. The American Deconstruction Period which lasted approximately five years starting in 2020. It was evidenced by a huge shift of population out of the urban centers to exurban locales. That shift being triggered by a combination of plaque, terrorism, and economics.

The Agrarian Resurgence that has followed and is still extent across most of the nation was the follow on result. Driven by fear and economics households launched headlong into self- sufficiency in everyday pursuits. With a combination of controlled environment agriculture and cheap microprocessors and sensors, 70% of food product was provided in situ. Former small towns experienced an upsurge in population and commerce.

The urban centers buckled under a lack of tax base and pension overdrafts yet to be paid. The primary enabler for the tax base decrease was yet again technology. Cheap LEO satellites with low latency, high bandwidth capabilities covered the planet. The playing field was leveled as a result. The tribesman herding cattle in Africa had the same access as the CEO in New York City. Corporations, as a result of the CoVid-19 lock down, could conduct affairs as effectively by remote without the resultant high cost for office space. That was coupled with the inability of mayors in major cities being unwilling to end the terrorism being conducted in the streets on an near daily basis.

The 2024 Presidential election was a watershed that seemed to cap the Agrarian Resurgence ethos. Trump in an unrestrained manner crushed the terrorism threat by a combination of street suppression and financial warfare to the financiers. Except for Portland, the Urban centers were saved only to be abandoned. The Republicans having taken the House initiated a series of reforms of civil service, taxation and civil forfeiture. The Democratic party collapsed after the 2020 election for reasons too numerous to explore here. President Gabbard under the Unity Party banner expanded those reforms and continued the base reduction plan initiated by the previous administration. The result is a nation that has only ventured twice in foreign involvements since. …

– Forward excerpt, ‘3rd American Century’, 2030

Fairy tale? Of course but the crazy thing is the tools and environment to make this happen are already laid out.

SpaceX has embarked on a bold plan to cover the planet in small inexpensive LEO sats. There are already a small group up there already. Beta testers are already reporting 60-100mb down 11mb up. The goal is to have enough of the sats to provide 1Gb speeds. Every launch places 60 units in orbit. It also appears that the whole endeavor is viable.

Starlink will have a leveling effect on this nation. One of the reasons that the urban/suburban complex exists is access. Access to the urban core by short commuting distances. Access to the Internet thru the availability of high speed physical links. Our terrestrial tech today does have a limitation – last mile costs. Few ISPs are willing to commit to spending infrastructure to provide the kind of access required in rural Kansas since the economics do not pay. Starlink blows that problem away. The last mile cost are the same regardless of locale. The Kansas farmer can have the same access speeds as the urbanite at the same cost, a key feature.

Taxation

I don’t care where you are, the cities are in trouble, some just more than others. Promises were made that could not be kept the day they were put to paper. Pension costs are a key driver. In places like Chicago, New York City, Dallas, Los Angeles the pension costs cannot be paid for and the bill is coming due. The other factor is cost per resident. Many cities like NYC have embarked on a ‘soak the rich’ platform. Cuomo being an example of beggar thy neighbor pronouncements on TV. The result is an environment of the very rich and the very poor.

That triggers another problem – flight. In places like LA, Chi, NYC households are balancing out their net income vs the taxation applied and are bugging out. All one has to do is look at booking rates on U-Haul away from cities to those to cities. In some cases it is a trifold difference. The cities are in a bind of their own making. They have long term bond costs (10-20yr debentures) but short term income commitments by the populace that has to pay it.

Terrorism

Lets call it what it is. Any organization that uses threats for political ends is the surest definition of a terrorist organization. BLM and AntiFA are no different than ISIS or Hamas. The same techniques and nearly similar goals. Blocking streets and interstates to prevent critical social services (fire, police, medical) adds to the confusion and diminishes the ambiance of wanting to live in an urban center. Why would anyone venture to Portland city center when there has been nothing but riots for 100 days straight?

AntiFA in particular has also ventured to the suburban environment with mixed results. In areas like Portland and Seattle they are having better results. Other areas no so much. The paradigm seems to be that the suburban and rural areas will resist with equal or greater force if need be if the police will not.

CoVid-19

The Chinese Flu and the resultant lock down has been a key trigger. Those whose work would permit telecommuting have been the least impacted by the lock down. Those whose livelihood depended on touch were highly impacted. Corporations that had national presence have discovered that they can assemble their teams thru tools like Google Meet, Zoom and WebEx. Share the information infrastructure via the same tools they used in-house. In most cases with lower costs and more satisfied employees. The interesting outcome in many ways is – people found out just how ‘necessary’ their skills were. Many a paper shuffler being shuffled out of the economy.

Education will never be the same after the plandemic. The K-12 environment is having mixed results in this regard. Success depends on rethinking delivery modes and more engagement with parents. Higher education is going headlong into the online experience as the only way to survive.

Whole swaths of infrastructure are to be diminished if not wiped out wholesale. Retail is on its knees for a combination of factors. The biggest being Amazon/Walmat. Airlines may never recover to their pre-CoVid levels as the business traveler is now on the Internet more. The demand for commercial real estate is already cratering and unlikely to recover if ever. With less demand for travel services industries like autos, cruise lines, hotels are in dire straits. While at the same time light haul trucking is booming and so to is the production of these vehicles.

Politics

The political arena could go in a multitude of directions. Should Trump win a second term what is suggested by the historical text may actually be true. Trump is sure to get tougher on the street theater front, shutting it down as fast as possible. Exiting the middle east has a high probability. The shift to the GOP being a populist party will probably be complete before Trump leaves office.

The Democrats on the other had will have a core problem that likely ends in their demise. They ‘were’ the populist party and the past tense should be emphasized here. What they are left with is a gaggle of far left special interests all competing for party favors. That worked when there was a base to support the desires, but lacking that base the gluttony becomes glaringly obvious and odious. Without correction the Democrats could go the way of the Whigs. Should that happen something else will take their place. The nation is way too involved mentally to not have a two party paradigm. Some other party structure will emerge.

The interesting factor will be party platforms of the future. The Republicans might continue the Trump formula of America First. Encourage by various means the restructuring of the economy to make the nation more self-reliant. An opposition party might make sound money a core tenet of their pitch to the nation; especially if we were to experience another stagflation event.

We are at the Chinese curse of living in interesting times.

38 Responses leave one →
  1. 2020 September 9 3:05 am
    [1]
    JimNorCal permalink

    “CNN appears to have altered a widely-seen photograph of Joe Biden with his young son to remove the logo of the Washington Redskins”

  2. 2020 September 9 3:15 am
    [2]
    drdog09 permalink

    1,

    So CNN admits to being Pravada eh? A little airbrushing in the Soviet style. Way to go CNN!

  3. 2020 September 9 3:31 am
    [3]
    drdog09 permalink

    Luby’s a Texas food chain is liquidating — https://www.southernthing.com/lubys-announces-plans-to-shut-down-and-liquidate-2647524551.html

    And, would you believe there is now a beer for dogs? — https://www.southernthing.com/busch-dog-brew-2647098625.html

  4. 2020 September 9 5:02 am
    [5]
    JimNorCal permalink

    Love that number 4 link

  5. 2020 September 9 7:18 am
    [6]

    And, would you believe there is now a beer for dogs? ” mutley 3

    https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=http%3A%2F%2Fi.rocdn.com%2Fv2%2F65639800&f=1&nofb=1

  6. 2020 September 9 7:55 am
    [7]
    drdog09 permalink

    In case anyone is interested, India is having a nice little border war with China,

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GjNakA4iYzo

  7. 2020 September 9 8:23 am
    [8]
    drdog09 permalink

    Heads to explode in all Prog camps — https://www.zerohedge.com/political/president-trump-nominated-nobel-peace-prize — Trump is nominated for the Nobel Peace prize.

    King does this affect your stats any??

  8. 2020 September 9 9:15 am
    [9]
    Eph permalink

    DR,

    The King is trying to figure out where all the polling went. Especially compared to September 2016.

  9. 2020 September 9 9:16 am
    [10]
    drdog09 permalink

    A Prog morality play in one act — https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1303567170727604225

  10. 2020 September 9 9:19 am
    [11]
    drdog09 permalink

  11. 2020 September 9 9:35 am
    [12]
    JimNorCal permalink

    Seen on another blog
    I haven’t watched it yet

    “In this extremely important video from the Schiller Institute conference which concluded September 6th, former Virginia State Senator and Judge Advocate General Richard Black finds that those retired generals, now active against Donald Trump are in violation of Section 88 of the Uniform Code of Military Justice. He names the names and says what the President should order Secretary of Defense Mark Esper to do if Esper doesn’t do it himself.”

    https://youtu.be/iVXX8WIJpKk

  12. 2020 September 9 10:15 am
    [13]
    drdog09 permalink

    12,

    Here’s the text of article 88 — https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/10/888

    That would certainly apply to in-service commissioned officers. Seems somewhat mute about retired officers however. But the presenter was a JAG so he certainly knows the application of the code.

  13. 2020 September 9 10:18 am
    [14]
    drdog09 permalink

    Another deplatforming — https://creativedestructionmedia.com/investigations/2020/09/09/patreon-freezes-cdmedia-funds-55-days-prior-to-election-over-reporting-on-biden-criminal-activity/ — All these companies doing deplatforming need to be hit with violations of Sec 230, and the publisher/carrier duality terminated.

  14. 2020 September 9 10:50 am
    [15]
    JimNorCal permalink

    13, another commenter says Black is the guy that McCabe’s wife ran against.
    She ran as a Dem
    Her husband attended while in office
    She got a huge $100K award from the Dem Party.
    I don’t recall if we learned whether she got to keep unspent funds … iow was it a bribe?

  15. 2020 September 9 12:50 pm
    [16]
    bc3b permalink

    Both cities and states are hurting tax-wise. Layoffs mean less taxable income. Remote work means less revenue from fuel taxes and tolls in places like Chicago, New York and New Jersey.

    GM announced that most salaried employees will be working remote through next June. That seems like a long time off, especially for a company that earns 95% of its revenue from automotive sales. It makes about as much sense as the NEA being pro-abort.

  16. 2020 September 9 12:59 pm
    [17]
    bc3b permalink

    drdog09 #3 –

    Luby’s – I haven’t been to a Fuddrucker’s for years. Guess I won’t be going again.

    Tough time for restaurants. Half of the now-closed Outback where my son worked throughout college is now a bank branch.

  17. 2020 September 9 1:07 pm
    [18]
    bc3b permalink

  18. 2020 September 9 1:09 pm
    [19]
    JimNorCal permalink

    Ohio officials demonstrate that they are lunatics.
    Less than 1/2 of a percent die from Covid … and hardly anyone unless there is a serious co-morbidity.

    https://ohiostatehousenews.com/2020/09/cdc-advises-parents-to-prepare-for-sudden-sleepover-for-school-children/

    The Center for Disease Control recently updated their website advising parents to prepare for a “sudden sleepover” for their children in the case of a disaster, which could include COVID-19.

    Coincidentally or not, a few days later on Aug. 31, a new order was issued by Ohio Department of Health Interim Director Lance Himes creating FEMA COVID-19 shelters and legalizing their use.

    The FEMA shelters are to be used to “isolate those diagnosed with or showing symptoms of COVID-19.”

    See Story in The Ohio Star.

    The CDC advised parents to prepare for children to be detained overnight in case of a disaster, listing COVID-19 as a “biological threat” that would qualify as a disaster.

  19. 2020 September 9 1:10 pm
    [20]
    JimNorCal permalink

  20. 2020 September 9 1:14 pm
    [21]
    drdog09 permalink

  21. 2020 September 9 1:47 pm
    [22]
    bc3b permalink

    Sweden is getting worse. Sounds like Portland:

    https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/16457/sweden-violence-crime

  22. 2020 September 9 1:55 pm
    [23]
    JimNorCal permalink

    21, wow, she hits ALL the buttons, even Charlottesville.

  23. 2020 September 9 2:04 pm
    [24]

    “President Trump’s two weekend campaign rallies in Nevada have been cancelled due to coronavirus rules imposed by Democrat Governor Steve Sisolak banning large crowds over fifty people. The outdoor rallies were set to be held at Reno-Tahoe International Airport on Saturday and McCarran International Airport in Las Vegas on Sunday.”
    https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/09/breaking-trump-nevada-rallies-cancelled-due-democrat-governors-coronavirus-restrictions/#post-comments

    Look for other govs to continue to do the same to cut his ability to get out a message out, course it will not effect Biden events as attendance barely ever breaks 100.

    Biden sluring his words, miss reading teleprompter and takes no questions… good thing for him nobody will ever be shown it.
    https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/09/biden-gets-confused-reading-teleprompter-attacks-president-trump-michigan-speech-video/
    https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/09/biden-slurs-words-michigan-speech-says-trumps-policies-increased-price-prescription-jugs-video/
    https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/09/biden-puts-face-mask-hurries-away-podium-answer-questions-economy-video/

    Course Biden only needs to campaign in about 4-6 states, if that…MI being one of them where the gov says Biden events a-ok, trump events bad. 😉
    https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/09/08/whitmer-trump-campaign-event-michigan-masks/5753594002/

  24. 2020 September 9 2:43 pm
    [25]
    drdog09 permalink

    Ted Cruz for SCOTUS! No really! — https://lawandcrime.com/supreme-court/trump-dangles-supreme-court-list-after-bob-woodward-recording-goes-public/ — His name is on a rather long list of possibles.

  25. 2020 September 9 4:49 pm
    [26]

    25 – No thanks on any of those 3 senators as scotus nominees (I know it’s red bait ..but still), I’ll have to look into the other 17 people added.

  26. 2020 September 9 4:55 pm
    [27]

    We need to keep as many senators as we can, in the senate.

  27. 2020 September 9 5:06 pm
    [28]
    JimNorCal permalink

    Biden’s biggest recent crowd!
    Trump supporters in Warren, MI
    https://mobile.twitter.com/WardDPatrick/status/1303741677576818700

  28. 2020 September 9 5:10 pm
    [29]
    Eph permalink

    26,

    Trust me, the others suck too.

    -The King

  29. 2020 September 9 5:14 pm
    [30]
    bc3b permalink

    JimNorCal #28 –

    I understand it was a repeat of Pittsburgh – 6-8 members of the media in social distancing circles with Biden once again being rushed from the podium with no questions.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yFfho1oRMOw&feature=youtu.be

    Why does he travel 500 miles to do these. By the way, Harris hasn’t had a press conference since she as named to the ticket.

  30. 2020 September 9 5:16 pm
    [31]
    drdog09 permalink

    Well here’s something to cheer up The King — https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9_FX2maB3vw

  31. 2020 September 9 5:19 pm
    [32]
    drdog09 permalink

    KH, 26,

    Believe it or not I agree. Politics should not be in the bench. Once the stench of politics is on one it is hard to wash off.

  32. 2020 September 9 5:19 pm
    [33]
    bc3b permalink

    Media lies –

    The media claimed Trump was pulling out of Michigan. He’s in the state for a rally in suburban Detroit.

  33. 2020 September 9 5:25 pm
    [34]
    drdog09 permalink

    Well, well, the two b@#$%&^@# that stole the 7yo kids hat have been indicted.

  34. 2020 September 9 5:35 pm
    [35]
    drdog09 permalink

    SJW culture comes full circle — https://thepostmillennial.com/campus-hosts-whites-only-cafe-in-the-name-of-equality — I kid you not. BC, are you going to visit?

  35. 2020 September 9 6:03 pm
    [36]
    Eph permalink

    33 BC,

    Plus ad blitz

    We dumb fucks fell for it too…

  36. 2020 September 9 6:06 pm
    [37]
    Eph permalink

    31 DR

    What happenend to the 91% Trump prediction guy??

    LMAO

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