Pathways to Tomorrow

2021 January 22
by justrand

An exercise prevalent in the business world a few years back was to have a group of executives and other employees get together and do the following:

  1. Imagine the company 10 years out – Best Case, Status Quo, Worst Case
  2. Imagine for each scenario how the company got there

I participated in and even led several of these sessions at different companies.  “Status Quo”, btw, was quickly realized to be a flavor of “Worst Case”, since in a changing world (business or otherwise) standing still is suicide.

Looking at America 10 years out, the “Status Quo” would indeed be suicide…and frankly impossible!

IMHO there are a couple “Best Case” scenarios, and three really bad “Worst Case” ones.  Naturally there are a myriad variations of each.

Best Case scenarios:

  1. America wakes the fu@k up, and returns to its founding principles!
  2. A (reasonably) “amicable divorce” occurs, and two nations inhabit the space where America is currently.

Worst Case scenarios:

  1. America doesn’t wake the fu@k up, and we are one dismal Socialist State…with all the tyranny required to maintain it!
  2. A “NASTY divorce” (Civil War) occurs, and the two nations inhabiting the space where America is currently, are at each other’s throats 24×7…in all ways including militarily.
  3. America has been conquered, with all the attendant destruction involved.

The unholy alliance of the Democrats, the “Swamp”, “Woke” corporations, the media, BigTech, and the deranged Left (massive overlap in that list) have convinced me that neither of the “Best Case” scenarios is likely…or even possible.

In “Worst Case” scenario #1 the entrenched tyranny would have to increasingly tighten their grip…leading to more and more unrest and armed resistance.  Sooner or later this would lead to at least an attempt at “Worst Case” scenario #2.   Which would very likely lead to some country (China!) attempting “Worst Case” scenario #3.

In other words, IMHO, if we don’t find some way get some flavor of one of the “Best Case” scenarios, we are DOOMED as a FREE nation.

81 Responses leave one →
  1. 2021 January 22 11:07 am
    bc3b permalink

    As always, excellent column JR.

  2. 2021 January 22 11:28 am
    PresidentRonaldPaul permalink

    Trump should quote Schumer on inciting the “erection” during his defense that demented Joe stole the election next month.

    Just a thought but if Trump is impeached, then senate dems will move to impeach hawley and cruise as well and then about 100 house republicans who did the same next.

  3. 2021 January 22 11:29 am
    PresidentRonaldPaul permalink

    Cruz that is
    15 char

  4. 2021 January 22 11:33 am
    PresidentRonaldPaul permalink

    The Washington Post flat out deleted an anecdote about Kamala Harris joking about prison inmates begging for water from a 2019 profile

  5. 2021 January 22 12:10 pm

    A possibility from a cold civil war.

    LENINSTAN== Northeast states.Ma/Ver/Mass.N.J. Etc.
    RUGHEAD CALIPHATE== North central states.Mich/Ohio/Ind/N.Y.
    BOURBON CONFEDERACY===Kentucky/Tenn/mo.
    PRAIRIE COLLECTIVE== Northern plains states. Minn/Wisc/Iowa/Ill
    KWANZA KRALL ==Southeast states. Carolinas/Fla/ala/Ga/Miss
    REPUBLIC SANCTUARY ==Central plains states. Neb/Ka/Dakotas
    TEXAS REPUBLIC ==Texarkhoma
    NUEVO ATZLAND ==Southwestern states.~Co /Az/Nm./Nv
    MOUNTAIN REDOUBT ==Northern Rockies. Wy/Mont/Id/Utah
    BERKELEY REDUX ==Pacific-Or/Wash/cal

  6. 2021 January 22 12:28 pm
    JimNorCal permalink

    “3. America has been conquered”
    There was a time when that was unthinkable. Not any more. Who stands for America anymore?
    Don’t we all suspect Dems have (and will continue to) sold us out to China?
    And they’ve got some weird pseudo religious belief that replacing white Americans with brown central Americans will improve the country a lot. How is that possible?

  7. 2021 January 22 1:11 pm
    PresidentRonaldPaul permalink

    Donald Trump Jr.
    BIG if true (no pun): Chuck Schumer accuses Donald Trump of inciting an “ERECTION”

    How will Donald defend this?

  8. 2021 January 22 2:23 pm
    PresidentRonaldPaul permalink

    All these Trump officials have been banned from visiting China on the way out the door 27 of them.

    Would be interesting to see one of them visit Taiwan at this point as it’s run as an independent country but China considers it part of chinese territory, which the Trump officials are banned from entering.

  9. 2021 January 22 2:32 pm
    justrand permalink

    I think the rumors that “ex-White House officials urge McConnell to convict Trump” are utter bullshit disinformation. But I could be wrong.

    IF McConnell does go along and the Senate DOES convict Trump, then I think Trump will immediately use his money and influence to start a third Party. And I think McConnell knows this.

    ANY Republican who votes to convict Trump is doomed politically. They’ll be primaried, and even if they defeat their Primary challenger, people like me will donate to the Democrat.

    McConnell is nothing if not a political creature.

  10. 2021 January 22 2:39 pm
    justrand permalink

    just before William Wallace shows up at Stirling in ‘Braveheart’, the common Scots start to leave the field KNOWING they are about to at least be screwed…if not die.

    One of the Scottish Lairds says: “Men, please, do not go…at least let us negotiate first!

    I tried to find a clip of just that part but couldn’t. Regardless, it is EXACTLY what the GOP sounds like now as people (like me) are preparing to leave the GOP forever. Trump is no William Wallace…but he is head & and shoulders above ALL the rest of the GOP combined.

    Patriot Party!!

  11. 2021 January 22 2:52 pm
    PresidentRonaldPaul permalink

    Sounds like the Constitution party sort of.

    Unless it’s just a cult of personality. Sounds like a bad idea to me.

  12. 2021 January 22 3:11 pm
    JimNorCal permalink

  13. 2021 January 22 4:51 pm
    bc3b permalink

    JimNorCal #12 –

    How can I add Chase when it’s been on my boycott list for at least a dozen years? When I returned to Detroit in the 1990s, I did all my banking at NBD (formerly National Bank of Detroit). NBD merged with First Chicago and soon was acquired by Bank One. Shortly thereafter Bank One was acquired by Chase. After about a year I dumped Chase.

  14. 2021 January 22 5:05 pm
    drdog09 permalink


    Due consideration to the scenarios.

    BC1 ain’t happening with the Dims in power. Only happens if you take the long view, and even then…..
    BC2 is possible but not a long term solution which I will get to in a moment
    WC3 won’t happen cuz why bother ‘conquering’ when ‘F’en up’ seems to be doing just fine?
    WC2 like BC2 would only last a short while.
    WC1 has high likelihood. But it will likely lead to WC2.

    Now WC2, BC2 can’t last for the simple reason that once socialists run out of other peoples money they start blaming the situation on someone else to quell the masses. That someone else would be Trumpland. Border skirmishes first, all out war eventually. End game is a winner take all scenario. Like most games, best to play hard as early as possible.

  15. 2021 January 22 5:07 pm
    drdog09 permalink

    “How will Donald defend this?”

    Blame it on Cialis???

  16. 2021 January 22 5:20 pm
    drdog09 permalink


    Guess I will be looking for a new credit card provider. God I hate BoA but it might happen.

  17. 2021 January 22 5:24 pm
    bc3b permalink

    Archbishop of San Francisco (sort of) stands up to Pelosi:

  18. 2021 January 22 5:24 pm
    drdog09 permalink

    Troops get kicked out of the capitol to a parking garage for BQ. Trump offers to open up his DC hotel for their use. Way to go whether it is accepted or not!

  19. 2021 January 22 6:05 pm
    JimNorCal permalink

    The hotel offer is pure gold!

    “Of the 11,000 Keystone Pipeline jobs killed, 33,000 of them voted for Biden.”

  20. 2021 January 22 6:10 pm
    gnqanq permalink

    Joe Biden killed Hank Aaron.

    Biden is president, Aaron dies, thus Biden gets the credit.

    Proves Biden is a racist too, he hates black people (since Aaron is black).

    (Just using liberal logic)

  21. 2021 January 22 7:18 pm
    justrand permalink

    Sincere question: how are you folks dealing with family and friends who think “everything will be fine”?

    I have lots in my life, and am starting to bite my tongue way too much.


  22. 2021 January 22 7:55 pm
    JimNorCal permalink

  23. 2021 January 22 8:00 pm
    drdog09 permalink


    The question I have is — How long before those CA AG stations are used to keep residents in rather than non-residents out?

  24. 2021 January 22 8:18 pm
    JimNorCal permalink

    JR, 22, I don’t discuss politics with “friends” unless they’re on the same page these days ….

    So it’s just family. My wife doesn’t question. I think she is worried that I’m too riled up and that could cause trouble, for example, get our last daughter blackballed from college acceptance or something. I’m retired so it’s hard to fire me.
    And she is mostly sympathetic. Her friends sent that meme I posted just above. Another one they have shows two columns. One is Trump tax rates for various categories, the other column for Biden*. The diagram is labeled MAPA (make America poor again).

    So it’s just daughters. They mostly avoid discussing it, but still cringe if I say “All Lives Matter” LOL. They’re not thinking “everything will be fine”, they’re mostly thinking it’s nice that America is addressing racism and stuff. They’re on board with the Dems, sigh.

    Politicians have been venal since the dawn of time. American politicians have been as stupid and criminal as any other nation’s. I’m sure a lot of folks avert eyes and just say “As long as I don’t have to attend School Board meetings, they can do what they want.” It’s worked in the past and will likely work in the future. The question is whether it will work now. Can we just let a band of idiot commies run around and ignore the damage? Personally I’m thinking “no”, there’s too many of them and we’ve lost our cushion for surviving idiocy, but I’ve been wrong before.

    I bet most people are hoping to ride it out. But plenty are spoiling for a fight.

  25. 2021 January 22 8:31 pm
    JimNorCal permalink

    Forget the Cheney daughter.

    Sen. Mitch McConnell is such a political genius that he’s been formally censured by the Nelson County GOP in his home state of Kentucky after McConnell attacked President Trump in a floor speech in the Senate.

    The Nelson County GOP vote was unanimous.”

  26. 2021 January 22 8:33 pm
    Eph permalink

    Biden killed Hank Aaron.


  27. 2021 January 22 8:36 pm
    Eph permalink

    16 DR

    Ill take B of A over Chase any day

    They let me open carry at my local branch

  28. 2021 January 22 8:55 pm
    JimNorCal permalink

    Eph, is this your home?
    Arizona Moving Toward Second Amendment Sanctuary Status.
    “A handful of Arizona Republicans are behind a push to make their state the fifth to keep state resources from assisting in any federal activity they consider contrary to the Second Amendment.”

    (For any wondering: “Arizona would be the fifth such state to take on the sanctuary role. The others are Alaska, Idaho, Kansas, and Wyoming.”)

  29. 2021 January 22 9:05 pm
    Eph permalink

    29. Jim

    Yes sir.

    Despite the cheat.

  30. 2021 January 22 9:40 pm
    drdog09 permalink


    I am going to have to get bizzy and have Tx join that list.

  31. 2021 January 22 10:31 pm
    gnqanq permalink

    JR – have some family (1 Brother) and many cousins that are commies – don’t talk politics (back of mind I may have to shoot them).

    Neighbors and co-workers I don’t talk politics unless I really know them. Try to identify friend from foe.

    Just keep my circle of friends to like minded. Don’t have time or trouble for others. Will help those who are like minded, others good luck.

  32. 2021 January 23 6:04 am
    bc3b permalink

    Eph –

    Biden killed Hank Aaron.


    See #21 – Hank Aaron died about two weeks after getting a COVID-19 shot and urging other blacks to do the same. He was 86, so perhaps a coincidence, but ….

  33. 2021 January 23 7:15 am
    bc3b permalink

    JR –

    I agree with NorCalJim and gnqanq –

    I only discuss politics with those I know whose ideas are similar to mine.

    Debating leftists on the internet (or in person) is a waste of time.

  34. 2021 January 23 7:21 am
    PresidentRonaldPaul permalink

    Interesting interview on the great debasement I listened to this am.

  35. 2021 January 23 7:31 am
    justrand permalink

    Gabbard is the ONLY sane and sensible Democrat. And she is absolutely right about the danger of this.

    During the Obama Regime (now know as “The Good Old Days”) a list surfaced that was being used to train DHS employees how to identify “Potential Domestic Terrorists”. After an uproar over it they DHS claimed they “altered the training”. Here are the top items from the list (which will be updated and EXPANDED by the Biden* Regime):

    – Those that display the Gadsden Flag (“Don’t Tread On Me”)
    – Evangelical Christians
    – Expressions of libertarian philosophies (statements, bumper stickers)
    – Second Amendment-oriented views (NRA or gun club membership, holding a CCW permit)
    – Survivalist literature (fictional books such as “Patriots” and “One Second After” are mentioned by name)
    – Self-sufficiency (stockpiling food, ammo, hand tools, medical supplies)
    – Fear of economic collapse (buying gold and barter items)
    – Religious views concerning the book of Revelation (apocalypse, anti-Christ)
    – Expressed fears of Big Brother or big government
    – Homeschooling
    – Owning copies of the Declaration of Independence and/or the Constitution
    – Belief in a New World Order conspiracy and/or opposed to the U.N.’s “Agenda 21”
    – Anyone that is “anti-abortion”
    ‘ “Rightwing extremists” (left undefined)
    – Returning veterans

  36. 2021 January 23 7:32 am
    drdog09 permalink

  37. 2021 January 23 7:41 am
    PresidentRonaldPaul permalink

  38. 2021 January 23 7:41 am

    rand 22~~You can’t pick your relatives, but you can always pick new friends.

  39. 2021 January 23 7:43 am
    Eph permalink

    Joe Biden killed Larry King

  40. 2021 January 23 7:54 am

    “A nation can survive its fools, and even the ambitious. But it cannot survive treason from within. An enemy at the gates is less formidable, for he is known and carries his banner openly. But the traitor moves amongst those within the gate freely, his sly whispers rustling through all the alleys, heard in the very halls of government itself.”
    Marcus Tullius Cicero

  41. 2021 January 23 8:06 am
    drdog09 permalink


    Its hard to consider BTC as a reserve currency when you consider BTC has no bottom. I have seen it traded for as low as .10c/coin. Just sayin’.

  42. 2021 January 23 8:13 am
    PresidentRonaldPaul permalink

    Watching an MIT open course by Gary Gensler this morning as well. He’s in the incoming SEC chairman.

  43. 2021 January 23 8:36 am
    justrand permalink

    Drdog: “The question I have is — How long before those CA AG stations are used to keep residents in rather than non-residents out?”

    The PRK is already trying to tax people for leaving:,you%20have%20the%20requisite%20financial%20ties%20to%20California.

    On a similar note, S.F. considered (and may again) charging people just to drive into or through S.F. They dropped the plan when Daly City & South San Franciso (the cities you drive through to the South) proclaimed: “Fine, we’ll charge people a few to LEAVE S.F.” 🙂

  44. 2021 January 23 9:05 am
    bc3b permalink

    JR #45 –

    Illinois has considered the same thing – a tax on people leaving the state.

  45. 2021 January 23 9:49 am
    bc3b permalink

    New study shows media trust at new low:

    I follow studies on the media closely, but have never heard of Edelman. Of course, it’s the fault of public perception rather than media misstatements (aka lies)

    According to Gallup’s annual media trust survey, a majority of Americans havent trusted the media since 2005. The latest Gallup media trust study states that 33% of Americans have absolutely no trust in the media while another 27% have very little trust:

  46. 2021 January 23 10:02 am
    justrand permalink

    bc3b: “New study shows media trust at new low”

    heck, they were already at ZERO…how much lower can they go??

  47. 2021 January 23 10:06 am
    bc3b permalink

    JR –

    You don’t live in your parents’ basement and watch CNN 18 hours a day. There are those who do,

  48. 2021 January 23 10:14 am
    justrand permalink

    In Britain “GI Joe” is called “Tommy”

    The end of Rudyard Kipling’s poem ‘Tommy’ is well worth re-reading…especially the LAST LINE

    You talk o’ better food for us, an’ schools, an’ fires, an’ all:
    We’ll wait for extry rations if you treat us rational.
    Don’t mess about the cook-room slops, but prove it to our face
    The Widow’s Uniform is not the soldier-man’s disgrace.
    For it’s Tommy this, an’ Tommy that, an’ “Chuck him out, the brute!”
    But it’s “Saviour of ‘is country” when the guns begin to shoot;
    An’ it’s Tommy this, an’ Tommy that, an’ anything you please;
    An’ Tommy ain’t a bloomin’ fool — you bet that Tommy sees!

  49. 2021 January 23 12:24 pm
    JimNorCal permalink

    JR “they were already at ZERO…how much lower can they go??”

    I believe this falls into the category of ‘Questions you do not want to ask’. 😁😁

  50. 2021 January 23 1:08 pm

    It was these tommys’ that ushered in socialism when they got back from the trenches of WW-1.

  51. 2021 January 23 1:27 pm
    mpt permalink

    Sincere question: how are you folks dealing with family and friends who think “everything will be fine”?

    Good question. I’ll admit that I am finding it hard to resist just putting my head in the sand and letting the world pass by. I have both a job and personality where it would be very easy to simply keep my head down and concentrate on my work.

    On the very rare times I am willing to share my feelings with others on the happenings of the day, I tend to start with “I realize that no one really cares what I think, but since you ask, here it goes…” to blunt opinions that when expressed in the SF Bay Area sound like dangerous wrong-think. I both like my job and need it for at least a few more years so adopting a “Don’t ask, don’t tell.” policy works best for both civil relations with others and my own sanity.

    My main task for the next four to five years is to launch my two kids on leading productive lives. My daughter is just graduating from college this year and is largely apolitical, but does then tend to swallow leftist tripe pretty easily to fit in with her friends. If she ends up with a conservative-minded husband, I’m pretty sure she’ll swing to the right very easily. If she ends up with a leftist husband, I’m fairly certain holiday meals will be mighty uncomfortable. As to my son who just graduated high school, he’s a work in progress. My main concern is keeping him from going full alt-right, national socialist, and keeping him off government watch lists. Coming of age during Covid and a full assault by leftists on white young men has been incredibly difficult for him. Despite his poor academic performance, he’s a smart kid and I think he’ll make it.

    Aside, from concentrating on work and my two kids, my wife is my biggest challenge. She sees what the leftists are doing to this country and is politically/socially conservative, but she also tries to be fully politically-correct and is far too afraid of “What will the neighbors think?”. Right now, we are in disagreement on dropping all our subscriptions to things such as Amazon and Netflix. I’m pissed that a portion of my paycheck goes to big-media/tech that hates me, but she just wants to watch their shows and doesn’t see the connection between feeding the beast and enabling what its doing. She was very liberal when we met as teens, but has come a long way since then. She still has a ways to go though.

  52. 2021 January 23 1:42 pm
    bc3b permalink

    As JR wrote earlier Tulsi is about the only Democrat who makes sense:

  53. 2021 January 23 1:43 pm
    PresidentRonaldPaul permalink

    “But then finally the masses wake up. They become suddenly aware of the fact that inflation is a deliberate policy and will go on endlessly. A breakdown occurs. The crack-up boom appears. Everybody is anxious to swap his money against “real” goods, no matter whether he needs them or not, no matter how much money he has to pay for them. Within a very short time, within a few weeks or even days, the things which were used as money are no longer used as media of exchange. They become scrap paper. Nobody wants to give away anything against them. -Ludwig Von Mises in his book Human Action

  54. 2021 January 23 1:45 pm
    PresidentRonaldPaul permalink

    The Churn is that moment when “the rules of the game change.”

  55. 2021 January 23 1:47 pm
    gnqanq permalink

  56. 2021 January 23 1:58 pm
    justrand permalink

    gnqanq, I don’t know about the MeWe CEO…I’ve heard conflicting reports. But MeWe is heas and shoulders above FascistBook.

  57. 2021 January 23 2:23 pm
    Eph permalink

    58. Plus Newsmax

    Our list is growing.

    Boycott everyone and everything.

  58. 2021 January 23 3:16 pm
    drdog09 permalink

    Sterling Hayden knew the answer back in 1956 and I have quoted it often —

    What does a man need – really need? A few pounds of food each day, heat and shelter, six feet to lie down in – and some form of working activity that will yield a sense of accomplishment. That’s all – in the material sense, and we know it. But we are brainwashed by our economic system until we end up in a tomb beneath a pyramid of time payments, mortgages, preposterous gadgetry, playthings that divert our attention for the sheer idiocy of the charade.

    BC is the trailblazer here because whether he knows it or not he has been apply Sturgeon’s Law —

    Ninety percent of everything is crap.

    We’re learning…..

  59. 2021 January 23 5:17 pm
    JimNorCal permalink

    Quip of the day:
    Chairman Xiden’s inauguration speech was so boring, Clinton nodded off. A reader observed, “It was the first time Bill slept next to Hillary in 40 years.”

  60. 2021 January 23 9:30 pm
    JimNorCal permalink

  61. 2021 January 23 9:32 pm
    JimNorCal permalink

  62. 2021 January 23 9:58 pm
    JimNorCal permalink

    From the Parler dot com web page.

    “Parler is gratified that the court refused to uncritically accept Amazon’s argument – widely repeated in the media – that the Parler platform was somehow used to plan, coordinate or execute the despicable January 6 riot at the Capitol.”
    I’d go with ill-advised, counter productive or even illegal but “despicable” rubs me the wrong way.

  63. 2021 January 24 3:22 am
    bc3b permalink

    ESPN Radio ratings down 53%:

  64. 2021 January 24 6:57 am
    justrand permalink

    what were the latest Cable News ratings???

  65. 2021 January 24 7:57 am
    justrand permalink

    At his Senate confirmation hearing (for Secretary of Transportation) Pete Buttigieg, was asked about the well over 10,000 workers already laid off by Biden’s cancelling of the Keystone Pipeline. He relied on his VAST knowledge of business & transportation, acquired as a one-term Mayor is South Bend, to reply: “They’re just going to have to find other jobs”

  66. 2021 January 24 8:22 am
    drdog09 permalink


    An therein lies the core of our problem. We have become France, a country led by individuals who have no particular expertise except how to speak in tongues and dole out favors. Farmers, merchants and insurance salesmen of yore did a far better job at much less cost.

  67. 2021 January 24 8:25 am
    drdog09 permalink

    We indeed will become Kalifornia — — A critical piece of infrastructure and we are going to let China play with it? Jeeez.

  68. 2021 January 24 8:52 am
    drdog09 permalink

    A slant on CARVER — — Also why Patriot Club has less impact than it could have.

  69. 2021 January 24 8:58 am
    drdog09 permalink

    Fair elections for me but not for thee — — Bezos say he won’t accept a mail-in voting scheme for the union card.

    Gee sounds kind of two faced to me.

  70. 2021 January 24 9:04 am
    justrand permalink

    Drdog, worse than “we have become France”, we have become the America of ‘Atlas Shrugged’. And all of the disasters and maladies that Ayn Rand envisioned are now coming to pass and/or on the verge. Trump forestalled this for4 short years, and the Left is NOT about to let that happen again.

  71. 2021 January 24 9:05 am
    bc3b permalink

    JR #67 –

    Ask and you shall find. I once heard that in a crowded place, Wrigley Field perhaps:

  72. 2021 January 24 9:08 am
    drdog09 permalink

    One I sort of disagree with —

    Will it over heat the economy? I will be the first to admit it CAN. But it does not have to. If Americans to the extent that they can just sat on the stimulus checks it won’t happen. All depends on the velocity of money. If the money does not move, there is no inflation. The trick is pump up today is not realized generally till 12-18 months later. The smart move for some would be to pay down their debt with the govt checks.

    Food prices soaring? Blame the Chinese on that one not stimulus checks. Their AG sector was wiped out in the summer floods so they are going out into the global market and sucking up anything not nailed down. There will not be any relief on that score till the crops start coming in mid summer.

  73. 2021 January 24 9:12 am
    bc3b permalink

    In doing some work for a new client Friday, I discovered there is a John Galt Boulevard in Omaha, NB. One of its salon accounts is on that street.

    If we all move there, it will be easier for the government and social media to spy on us.

  74. 2021 January 24 9:15 am
    drdog09 permalink

    Turley a ‘right winger’? — — So even Liberals are coming under fire by the Progs.

  75. 2021 January 24 1:43 pm
    drdog09 permalink

    For just the history of it — — Liberty loan held by my great grandfather.

  76. 2021 January 24 5:14 pm
    mulletover permalink

    79. Now that’s a cool post. Love things like that.

  77. 2021 January 24 5:30 pm
    justrand permalink

    Splendidly cool, Drdog!

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