Where There’s Smoke …

2020 November 27
by bc3b

… there’s a five alarm fire.

Others are thinking the same thing you are.

Why are improbably high vote counts that “arrive” after midnight overwhelmingly (well beyond the point of mathematical improbability) in favor of Biden/Democrats?

Even though the media (including Faux News) refuses to cover it, half of Americans believe Joe Biden’s election was illegitimate.

Democrats, the media (the Democrats’ propaganda arm) and some RINOs wring their hands in fear that a majority  of Americans will distrust our electoral system. Is this a bad thing if our elections are fraudulent? As additional information becomes public (in spite of the media’s attempts to suppress it), trust in Biden’s election will mirror the American public’s trust in the media (limited to hard core Democrats).

Funny how all the “spikes” in vote counting happened exactly in the critical swing states where they were needed

This is the conclusion from a very long article, which has lot of math, graphs, and charts.


This report studies 8,954 individual updates to the vote totals in all 50 states and finds that four individual updates — two of which were widely noticed on the internet, including by the President — are profoundly anomalous; they deviate from a pattern which is otherwise found in the vast majority of the remaining 8,950 vote updates. The findings presented by this report suggest that four vote count updates — which collectively were decisive in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia, and thus decisive of a critical forty-two electoral votes — are especially anomalous and merit further investigation.

In particular, the finding that the broader data follows general patterns and our ability to measure just how much any individual vote update does — or doesn’t — follow this pattern allows us to make concrete claims about both how extreme any given vote update is and about what any particular vote update might have looked like, had it been less extreme one one axis or another.

We further find that if these updates were only more extreme than 99% of all updates nationally in terms of their deviation from this generally-observed pattern, that, holding all else equal, Joe Biden may very well have lost the states of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia, and that he would have 42 fewer Electoral votes — putting Biden below the number required to win the Presidency. Either way, it is indisputable that his margin of victory in these three states relies on four most anomalous vote updates identified by the metric developed in this report.

We once again note that this analysis is largely restricted to four individual vote updates out of a sample of nearly 9,000. This report by no means suggests stopping investigations in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia, or elsewhere; it is merely that these four key ballot updates are both profoundly anomalous with respect to a metric which removes any component of different states having different partisan leanings or a different number of voters. Furthermore, this analysis does not require that we regard the final vote totals in any of these states (or counties thereof) as suspicious, nor, critically, does it require that we accept that the observed data should follow any particular distribution a priori.  We merely show that the data, adjusted appropriately to remove differences in size and political leaning between states, does follow a certain pattern, and that four key vote updates deviate profoundly from that pattern.

It is our belief that the extraordinarily anomalous nature of the studied vote updates here, combined with the staggering political implications, demands immediate and thorough investigation.

Hat tip: Dan from Squirrel Hill

37 Responses leave one →
  1. 2020 November 27 4:59 am
    drdog09 permalink

    More police quit the force after Seattle defunds — https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ps8ZzbNI-sU — Watch the first 5min then quit. This guy rambles.

  2. 2020 November 27 5:10 am
    drdog09 permalink

  3. 2020 November 27 6:53 am

    If it walks like a ducking fuk, sounds like a ducking fuk,one must assume it’s a ducking fuk.`~~~by the way, WBF

  4. 2020 November 27 7:24 am
    justrand permalink

    Designed, that NY Sheriff sounds a lot like our Sheriff here in Butte County, CA. Only ours was even more blunt.

    The hypocritical politicians figure that law abiding citizens are,meek law abiding. And can thus be controlled with threats and a few “targeted” LEO responses (small scale versions of Ruby Ridge, WACO, etc).

    SMART Sheriffs (as opposed to major city Police Chiefs) know that their Deputies have huge areas to cover…often alone. They know that you can only push law abiding Americans so far…and that we are near that point. Communities WILL organize, and LEOs surrounding a house that violated some ludicrous politicians wet-dream, will find THEMSELVES surrounded by dozens of well armed “law abiding citizens”.

    Sheriffs like our Sheriff here KNOW that, but also know and respect the Constitution. The battle lines are being drawn.

  5. 2020 November 27 7:31 am

    3 That’s not actually new for comcast they’ve had the same in most markets but at 1TB for several years now, any market where they lack any real competition they enforce it – which means most markets esp since their competition usually does the same.

  6. 2020 November 27 8:03 am
    justrand permalink

    Three very excellent points made by the author at the link. The question left unanswered by the author is: will America heed the lessons?

    My fear is, no. Or at least, not yet.

    We’ve got a passel of our grandkids running around here like wild Indians (I know, that not PC), so I haven’t been able to finish and publish the post bouncing around in my head: “If this goes on…” It will be up tomorrow…mid-day…and deals with what may happen next “If this goes on…”


  7. 2020 November 27 8:09 am
    bc3b permalink

    Doug Ross at the Journal breaks Sidney Powell’s charges down into easy-to-understand graphics:


  8. 2020 November 27 8:16 am
    bc3b permalink

    100% of the 900 military ballots in Fulton County (Atlanta) were for Biden:


    We have never witnessed voter fraud on this scale in the history of the nation.

  9. 2020 November 27 8:21 am
    bc3b permalink

    JR #8 –

    Don’t complain. Our 34 year old son is a bachelor – several serious relationships, one engagement. I told him, “Find a nice girl that doesn’t believe in abortion and knock her up. I’ll be the one at the church with the shotgun.”

  10. 2020 November 27 8:27 am
    justrand permalink

    Bc3b, the fraud was organized AND organic.

    The organized fraud is being uncovered…but the “organic” may never be.

    “Organic” in that thousands of people committed fraud without being asked to…so they could feel RIGHTEOUS! Why not? Trump was HITLER…and MUST BE STOPPED!

    Millions of Americans are that shit up for four years, and thousands (at least) of those useful-idiots found themselves in a position to DO something about it!

    Working in a Post Office…trash a few ballots from known (or suspect) Trump supporters. Working a ballot counting-room…and no one is looking…fill in a few blanks and/or change a few totals. Family member died but you got their ballot anyway…fill it in and mail it. Get some ballots from previous residents where you now live…fill them in and mail them!

    And so on. Trump IS Hitler…so whatever you do is OK, right?

  11. 2020 November 27 8:29 am
    justrand permalink

    Bc3b, not complaining…I love having the “wild Indians” around 🙂

  12. 2020 November 27 8:40 am
    bc3b permalink

    JR –

    I saw an article that I wished I had saved. There were an unusually large number of “Google searches” for “election fraud penalties” just prior to the election, likely from people willing to commit a misdemeanor for voter fraud but wouldn’t want to be making license plates for the next ten years.

  13. 2020 November 27 8:45 am
    bc3b permalink

    JR #5 –

    See post 9. This graphic makes it very easy to understand the essence of Sidney Powell’s Georgia charges. Here it is again:


    It doesn’t get any easier to understand than this.

  14. 2020 November 27 8:59 am
    mulletover permalink

    Ballot harvesting is illegal in GA. Stacy Abrams is bragging about the ballot she has directed to be cast in the Senate elections, and has her name all over the groups renting PO Boxes to pass a residences.

    That pig’s criminal activity ought to be good for 25 years in the state prison, and the sooner the better.

  15. 2020 November 27 9:09 am
    drdog09 permalink

    BC, 11,

    In these days and times I would not advise that. Said relative will face at a minimum 18 years of child support payments. Most females these days don’t feel the need to have the man, only his resources. Worse case he could face rape charges when the woman’s lawyer hits hard to get the best deal for the client in the family courts.

  16. 2020 November 27 10:51 am
    drdog09 permalink

  17. 2020 November 27 11:31 am
    justrand permalink

    If we accept that China created and unleashed Covid-19 on the world intentionally, which
    I do, then isn’t it reasonable to assume this SECOND WAVE is being unleashed intentionally as well??

    Even if the first wave was released early be accident, it was still intended to be released. Why are there NO reports of spikes in infection in China??

  18. 2020 November 27 11:36 am
    drdog09 permalink

  19. 2020 November 27 12:14 pm
    bc3b permalink

    Mullet #16 – Also people using business addresses to vote.

    As you said, Democrats aren’t even trying to hide voter fraud in 2020. They know their media buddies won’t report it.

  20. 2020 November 27 12:27 pm
    JimNorCal permalink

    Psst … buddy! You wanna buy a black market turkey?
    You KNOW The Man will be on you if you buy one legit from the store.

  21. 2020 November 27 12:30 pm
    JimNorCal permalink

    The message, which is in a small font, says
    “Due to Local and Federal Guidelines Anyone Who Purchases a Turkey that can feed 12-16 People will Have To Sign an Affidavit upon Exit”
    (note: that’s their capitalization!)

  22. 2020 November 27 12:33 pm
    bc3b permalink

    John Kerry, Biden’s choice for climate czar, has a 70-foot luxury yacht. His wife owns charter airline and limousine companies. If, my memory serves me correctly t he Heinz-Kerrys own seven residences.


  23. 2020 November 27 12:35 pm
    JimNorCal permalink

    I read that Kerry keeps at least one SUV idling in his driveway at all times in case he needs a ride somewhere.

  24. 2020 November 27 12:46 pm
    mpt permalink

    I don’t believe I saw links to the video below being passed around here, but I could be wrong.

    The link below is to a presentation made by Rudy Giuliani, data experts, and eyewitnesses regarding the fraud in PA to the Republican legislature members two days ago. It’s over three hours long, but the first 30 minutes by Giuliani were an excellent overview of the testimony that follows:


    Where has this Giuliani been the last three weeks? In this presentation, he is clear, on point, and very convincing. No wonder the media isn’t talking about this.

  25. 2020 November 27 12:58 pm
    JimNorCal permalink

    In the election, what happened in areas where there was no widespread cheating? Like … in Florida for example.

    No less a non-conservative authority than Politico has labeled the Florida Democratic Party in post-election meltdown after a complete beatdown by the Florida GOP in the Nov. 3 election. It’s so bad that Democrats are seriously worried that Florida has become a permanently red state.

    President Trump carried the state by more than 3 points and by more than 370,000 votes.

    But it was down the ballot that have Democrats worried.

    Thomson wrote, “In a year when Democrats had hoped to pick up 5-10 seats in the Florida House and three seats in the Senate and maybe flip the Florida statehouse for the first time in 20 years with the help of tens of millions of dollars poured in from outside Florida, the exact opposite happened. Florida Republicans expanded their state Senate majority by one seat and our state House majority by five seats while also flipping two Congressional seats and giving President Trump a four times larger margin of victory than he had in 2016.”

    “Tellingly, Miami-Dade County led the dramatic flip. Hillary Clinton won the county by almost 300,000 votes in 2016, Joe Biden won it by only 85,000 — just 7% compared to Clinton’s 29% margin. That’s also where the two Congressional seats were located.”

  26. 2020 November 27 1:16 pm
    JimNorCal permalink

    Donald J. Trump
    REPORT: Biden’s Thanksgiving Day Address gets just 1000 views online, a record low. Observers say a candidate with “80,000,000” votes would get many more online viewers. Numbers don’t lie, or add up! @OANN

  27. 2020 November 27 1:53 pm
    drdog09 permalink

    A snippet from Lionel Nation —

    Are you sitting down? Here’s what’s going to happen in the immediate future. So pay attention and bookmark it so you can refer to it from time to time. First, every triumphant side will gloat and crow obnoxiously after their initial victory. You’ve done it, I’ve done it, everybody does it. Relax. The next thing to happen will be that the radical left wants its place at the table and to be heard and will insist that any and all victories were due in great part to their activism. The established heritage DNC will disagree and internecine battles will ensue and continue. MSM platforms will realize immediately that Trump was their oxygen and sole broadcasting purpose. Without Trump, they have nothing to say. It’s like NATO and Russia. No Russia, no NATO. They will understand immediately the notion of symbiosis. Parasites die when the host dies. CNN along with its cohorts are obligate parasites. Remember the adage, the best parasite harms the host the least. Without its food source Trump they will have to immediately look for new sources of nourishment. The same goes for social media. They will rue the transition. It will immediately become even more obvious to you that the GOP was most certainly Trump’s worst enemy. You always knew the rad left and the heritage DNC hated him, that was a given. But you never really understood how corrupt the GOP was who resented his power more than anyone. The GOP has no bench. No successors. Because the last thing they want is another Donald Trump. So while there might be some favorites who appear now and then on Fox News, the next in line as far as the heritage GOP is concerned is somebody who’ll be mostly unrecognizable to you. The country will benefit greatly from watching the mosh pit and bloody scrum that the rad left and heritage DNC will be engaged in. It never had a chance to listen to the breathtakingly incoherent message they have, so sit back for a moment and let them make their demented case. Joe Biden will be immediately replaced due to some sudden infirmity the moment he starts to show reluctance to following the script. At his age especially and after what he’s been through he will resent being told that he will not be able to steer the country in his own way. It will take one four-year election cycle for the country to grasp the rad left DNC. Covid will be gone from our top of mind awareness. Vaccines will have proven problematic. Businesses will never rebound and the fascist liberoid government thugs will be blamed in great part. You must be patient and keep an eye out for what’s happening. It is imperative that you understand election science and psephology. The biggest impediment to your being able to grasp what is happening in your republic is the loud and obnoxious voices from social media oafs.

  28. 2020 November 27 2:36 pm
    justrand permalink

    Drdog, interesting article from Lionel Nation. I believe the puppet-masters behind this election understand they need the citizens feeling all or some combination of these things:
    – FEAR…physical, financial, medical, legal
    – HATRED/ENVY towards “others”
    – DOUBT…of the future, of the present, of the past
    – CONFUSION…who/what to trust

    They believe a populace focused on those things won’t notice their lives and liberties being destroyed…if it is done fast enough.

    So they will move quickly and ruthlessly.

  29. 2020 November 27 3:45 pm
    mpt permalink

    Resolution introduced in the PA House to call the certification of the election into dispute:


    THEREFORE, be it RESOLVED that the Pennsylvania House of Representatives—

    1. Recognizes substantial irregularities and improprieties associated with mail-in balloting, pre-canvassing, and canvassing during the November 3, 2020 election; and

    2. Disapproves of the infringement on the General Assembly’s authority pursuant to the United States Constitution to regulate elections; and

    3. Disapproves of and disagrees with the Secretary of the Commonwealth’s premature certification of the results of the November 3, 2020 election regarding presidential electors; and

    4. Declares that the selection of presidential electors and other statewide electoral contest results in this Commonwealth is in dispute; and

    5. Urges the Secretary of the Commonwealth and the Governor to withdraw or vacate the certification of presidential electors and to delay certification of results in other statewide electoral contests voted on at the 2020 General Election; and

    6. Urges the United States Congress to declare the selection of presidential electors in this Commonwealth to be in dispute.

    I believe a similar resolution is being introduced to the PA Senate. If, and this may be a big if, both resolutions pass in the GOP-controlled Senate and House, it does not need to be approved the PA governor. This would then set the stage for the legislature appointing their own 20 delegates for the 2020 Presidential election that overrides those chosen by the PA Secretary of State.

    I guess we’ll find out to what degree the GOP has grown a spine. They did seem pretty pissed off at the fraud exposed in the testimony to them by Rudy Guiliani and company on Wednesday.

  30. 2020 November 27 4:36 pm
    gnqanq permalink

    drdog – I like Lionel, yes there will be some in fighting BUT if Bite Me is seated- Ball Game. There is no coming back from this election.

    30 million new Democrat voters, and the Democrats never losing the House and the Presidency.

    4 more Democrat Senators (DC & PR), and the Democrats never losing the Senate.

    An economy fully changed to Communism.

    An economy completely destroyed with a Green Economy fully nonfunctioning.

    Government sanctioned racism.

    Gun rights, what gun rights?

    Be ready for the Global Reset they are going to bring to the world.

    You are going to take it up the a$$ and like it.

    Myself, my rights come from God. I refuse the consent to be governed by these people. We all have to die one day. Just a matter of when and where.

    BTW – a belated Happy Thanksgiving to all.

    PS – This is all in God’s hands and I wait for his decision.

  31. 2020 November 27 5:13 pm
    drdog09 permalink


    Biden seated. I have never seen a functional POTUS from a Dim. Clinton smooth as he was screwed up. And the Progs? They will overreach as always.

  32. 2020 November 27 8:44 pm

    26 – I watched it live when it happened only OANN covered it live what it happened. Probably was told to get a day of R&R before it and also wasn’t being constantly interrupted trying to fit his remarks into 4min segment.

    32 – Problem is 20 ain’t enough to get the job done alone.

  33. 2020 November 27 8:48 pm

    27 – # imagine what happens when you get rid of Snipes and her crew in Broward, that alone seems to have been a major factor in stunting steal attempts there, and a gov and legislature that at least for the moment pays attention to shit.

  34. 2020 November 28 5:36 am
    drdog09 permalink


    “Ultimately we know deeply that the other side of every fear is freedom.” — Marilyn Ferguson

    All too often politicians, business people and ordinary citizens confuse ‘law and order’ with ‘being left alone’. Doing so is a critical error because they are not the same. ‘being left alone’ is the state that most Americans desire to. The ability to pursue one’s interests with minimal interference. ‘law and order’ is but a method to attempt to achieve the ‘being left alone’ part. Fact one can make the case that the ‘order’ part is the only useful component of ‘law and order’. Nor is it the only method to achieve ‘being left alone’. In the early years of the republic if you did not like something going down you just up and left for the frontier.

    Now the question to be answered is what is the breaking point to overcome one’s fear and reach for alone and freedom. We are already seeing it in minor cases all over the country. The business that gave the case worker (and sheriffs I might add) the bronx cheer out of the store. The barber telling the governor to go shove it, I am open for business. We just ran the Great Thanksgiving Revolt most successfully. I suspect that come about February or March open defiance of the lockdown will be in full swing.

    The most critical part of civil disobedience is not the 1st person to do so (the trigger) but the fifth, sixth, seventh person to do so. It is by this time that the Maniacal Order is shown to lack the will to enforce its edict upon the populace. Once it is shown one order can be ignored many of the balance of the orders will also be defied. Go ahead and charge someone a $1000 fine for reopening an eatery. Soon there are hundreds open. The courts bog down under the weight of their own process. Issuing further levies become nothing but toilet paper, for the enforcer may issue the levy but it is the court that must attempt to collect it.

    Better than half of the population is prepared to give any Biden administration edicts the middle finger. Our function is to make sure that everyone knows this.

    Be that 7th person.

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